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Jason_L._Jackson

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Everything posted by Jason_L._Jackson

  1. Stieber and Ruth wrestle a more aggressive style, especially against better wrestlers. They look to score more often, not only from neutral, but also from the top position. Dake wrestles a more conservative style against better opponents, looking for a takedown and a ride. Dake doesn't really look to score from the top position, simply to rack up riding time. The question in my mind is, could Stieber and Ruth do what Dake does, and, conversely, could Dake do what Stieber and Ruth do? I say that, if they wanted, Stieber and Ruth could take a guy down, ride him without trying to score, and win 4-0. However, I don't think that Dake can take top 5 wrestlers down and score on them from the top position, almost at will. Honestly, if he could I think he would. Therefore, in my humble opinion, that makes Stieber and Ruth more dominant and therefore better "pound for pound". It's splitting hairs, but, that's what you have to do when judging between truly great wreslters.
  2. So, if the standard is a 2 count, and the frame by frame video supports that Logan is exposed for 2.2 seconds, we are bashing a referee for being off by .3 seconds. I would bet that most people on this board could not start and stop a watch within .3 seconds, but yet, the referee "blew" the call because of .3 seconds. Start a stopwatch and stop it at exactly 2 seconds. See if you are fast or slow. Who knows, some of you may be at 3 or 4 seconds. Some may be at 1.5. All of this about .3 seconds. In the words of Chris Carter..."Come on, man!"
  3. It was 2 for Ramos, and a win for Stieber either way. They didn't stop the action right away and interrupt Ramos' ride, it wasn't until after the escape. So it wouldn't have changed the outcome. Ramos still needed to get out quickly in the third, down 3 or 1, and he didn't and couldn't. Logan wins again, irregardless of the non-call.
  4. Stieber has beaten Port both last year and this year, once by 5 and once by 6. Henderson actually owns a win over Stieber last year, pinning him with an inside cradle. My thoughts on the matter are this, if Maple is the best, then he will have no problem beating the 7 and 3 seeds before the finals, compared to the 8 and 4 seeds. The level of talent is not that different. I'm sure Maple isn't as worried about who is on his side of the bracket. If he is, then I predict he doesn't make it to the finals.
  5. I thought Josh Lowe put that there were 32 native Ohioans in the NCAA tourney, but I don't think he listed names.
  6. My question is, how loud would the Iowa fans have been calling for stalling if the offensive attempts were reversed. Ramos did nothing but block and circle for almost eight minutes. I thought he should have been hit at least once.
  7. SHP, Saw that the Big Ten had the heavies wrestle an extra match tonight. Are you sure that the 9th AQ spot went back into the wild card pool? Can't think of any other reason why they would have wrestled the extra match. Thanks!
  8. I think that result is backwards. I believe Wright pinned Huntley.
  9. Frank, you are absolutely right. I almost wrote 100% assuming that they wrestle and finish the tournament. Logan, Hunter and Heflin could go 0-2 and all three would absolutely get an auto-bid. Apparently fightingillini.com is streaming the first two rounds for free. At least that is what twitter said.
  10. Thoughts after viewing the brackets… 125 (7 AQ) – Nikko end up the 5th seed and should pick up a pin in the first round. It is a toss up against Boyle. If he wins he is in. If he loses he is likely to have Coufal and then Malone, which should be two more pins, and he is in. Chances of qualifying are over 90% in my opinion. 133 (7 AQ) – Logan should probably pin his way to the finals and then there is the epic matchup with Ramos. I have a feeling it is going to be anticlimactic, but that’s just me. Chances of qualifying are 100%. 141 (6 AQ) – Hunter should pick up an easy win in the first, but his second round match has me on notice. Jackson is very athletic, and, while Hunter should cruise, I don’t know that it will be a walk. I think Nelson beats Pearsall, and I think Hunter beats Nelson, but, again, I’m not looking for bonus here. I think Hunter faces Dardanes in the finals and picks up a 2 point win. Chances of qualifying are 100%. 149 (7 AQ) – Paddock gets the 8 seed which surprises me a little based on his 0-2 Big Ten record. He gets a bye and then Grajales, who rode him out for a victory last time. I think Paddock can win, but, if he loses, he still has a good shot. He would likely have Alton or Sueflohn. If he loses that he is in the 7th place match without having won anything. He will probably have Ervin or Osterman, and, quite frankly, I think he beats both and qualifies a spot. Chances of qualifying are 50%. 157 (7 AQ) – Demas is the 6 seed and I think he has a decent shot of upsetting Alton. That would put him in. If he loses, he is likely to have Churchard or Walsh. Neither are an easy win, and Walsh beat him earlier in the year on a rideout. A loss there would put Demas out without qualifying. I think he gets by either one and faces Watts in another tough test. A win puts him in and I think he at least wrestles to his seed. I will say that he is the AQ with the most shot of not gaining an automatic berth, but, I think he would be in a very good position of getting a wild card. Chances of qualifying are 80% in my opinion. 165 (8 AQ) – Martin is the 9 seed and has an interesting route. He has Wilson (Neb) is the first round. If he wins then he faces Taylor. He would then have the loser of LeBlanc (IU) v. Robinson (PU) in the qualifying match. If he loses in the first round, he would likely face the winner of the Leblanc-Robinson match in the go to bout. If he wins in the first round I think he gets out, if he loses then I think he goes 0-2. Chances of qualifying are 40% in my opinion. 174 (8 AQ) – Heflin gets the 4 seed, but, as we all know, the difference between the 1-8 seeds is about 1 point per match. Heflin will almost assuredly face Brown again in the quarters. I like Heflin in this matchup. Brown didn’t look like he was going to be able to take Heflin down in the first matchup, and, I favor Heflin in overtime. I think he gets the win and qualifies. However, if he loses to Brown, he would likely have to beat Wohlfert of MSU to go. I see that happening. Chances of qualifying are 100%. 184 (6 AQ) – Magrum draws the 8 seed based on his and Courts’ mixed results. He will have a tough match to qualify, but he can do it. After wins over Cox and Berkowitz, Magrum will face the loser of Lofthouse-Rizquallah to go. I favor Lofthouse in that matchup, but, either way, I think Magrum stands a good shot of beating the loser. Not sure he gets a wild card if he doesn’t qualify. Chances of qualifying are 50%. 197 (8 AQ) – Camp has to win one match to qualify. If he beats Atwood in the quarters he is in. If he loses, then he would have either Kolb or Burak to qualify. Neither is a guarantee, as Burak beat him earlier in the year. I think Camp gets it done either way, but he is going to have to wrestle hard and smart. Chances of qualifying are 95%. 285 – (8 AQ) Karageorge gets a shot at the big time. I feel especially bad for Capone, who seemed to be coming into his own as a heavy. This is a guy who wrestled 152 as a senior and just kept putting on weight for the team and to get in the lineup. A great example of a Buckeye. As for Kosta, I already like him better than the basketball player with the same name. He gets Lawson first round, and, while an upset isn’t out of the question, it isn’t likely. If he wins he would then have to beat the loser of Johnson or Apland to go. Not likely, but, not impossible. If he loses first round then he is likely to face the winner of Johnson-Apland in the go to match. Apland handled him pretty good the first time, so I don’t like his chances overall. Chances of qualifying are 5%.
  11. SHP, I know you are only going off your formula, but I have two questions in regards to the Ohio State-Missouri match. First, are you only projecting 1 bonus point for Ohio State? I assume that would be Logan. No bonus for Hunter? Second, I noticed that Josh Demas is ranked 36th. Do you agree with the computer in that regard? I think the computer has Missouri wrestlers ranked too high myself, and a few Buckeyes too low, but we shall see. Bonus question, how is Andrew Alton still 7th despite missing a month and losing to Tessari in the dual? Just wondering. Thanks!
  12. Well, if those are the matchups, I would say that Oklahoma State, Iowa and Minnesota win easily. Ohio State v. Missouri should be a great match. My thoughts. 125 – Nikko Triggas v. Alan Waters – Waters won a tight match at Vegas, but Triggas hasn’t been wrestling his best lately. I say Waters by decision, but a bonus point here wouldn’t shock me. 3-0 Mizzou 133 – Logan Stieber v. Nathan McCormick – Stieber won by major at Vegas, and I think he gets at least that here. McCormick fought off his back there, I think Stieber sticks him this time. 6-3 Ohio State 141 – Hunter Stieber v. Nicholas Hucke – Stieber has been on fire, getting bonus points, including pins, at a higher rate lately. I think he knows that bonus points could decide the match, and he looks for the major. 10-3 Ohio State 149 – Cam Tessari v. Drake Houdashelt – Tessari has been wrestling well lately, and I think he pulls off a close victory here, but this is easily a toss up. 13-3 Ohio State 157 – Josh Demas v. Kyle Bradley – Demas’ record isn’t great, but it feels like he has wrestled everyone in the top 10. I think he takes this one with a late takedown. 16-3 Ohio State 165 – Mark Martin v. Zach Toal – Battle of Ohio prep stars, Toal gets the victory, the question is if Martin can avoid bonus. I think he hangs on and Toal gets the decision. 16-6 Ohio State 174 – Nick Heflin v. Todd Porter – Porter is a little inconsistent, but has the talent to win this match. Heflin has such good defense, and seems to be getting that one takedown when he needs it. I think he wins one here. 19-6 Ohio State 184 – Cody Magrum v. John Eblen/Mike Larson – Eblen wrestled in both duals at the regional, and I’m not sure if it was a break for Larson or if he is out. I would favor Magrum over Eblen and Larson over Magrum. Decision both ways. 22-6 Ohio State or 19-9 Ohio State 197 – Kenny Courts v. Brent Haynes – Courts has been here the last few weeks, and I have no idea what is going on, but I will presume he stays here for the time being. Courts is quick, but obviously lacks a little strength up a weight. I think he gets a lead, but Haynes wears him down and takes a decision in the third. 22-9 or 19-12 Ohio State 285 – Kosta Karageorge v. Dom Bradley – I fear that Capone is done for the season. He looked really hurt against Penn State, and had missed some time before that. Bradley dominates, and probably gets the fall. 22-15 or 19-18 Ohio State A close dual, which is to be expected for the 4 and 5 seeds. A number of toss ups will determine this dual, and momentum could be huge. I think 149, 157, 174, 184 and 197 are all in doubt. Ohio State wins 133 and 141 and Missouri wins 125 and 285. I think bonus favors Ohio State. Can’t wait!
  13. I think it is entirely possible that Ohio State wins three matches. However, I also think that saying they "can't" win five is ridiculous as well. Tessari has a decent shot of beating Alton and Heflin has a decent shot of beating Brown. I'm not sure Ohio State would win on bonus points even if it was 5-5, but I think they have a shot.
  14. What Ohio State needs to do to beat Penn State. 125 – Triggas needs to avoid bonus points. I don’t think he needs to win, he just needs to keep it to a decision. 3-0 Penn State 133 – Logan needs to pin Conaway. I think he can and will. 6-3 Ohio State 141 – Hunter needs to pick up a major over Pearsall. This may be the key additional point in the match. 10-3 Ohio State 149 – Cam has to win, that’s all. No bonus, no pin, just hang on until the third period and take advantage of a gassed Alton. 13-3 Ohio State 157 – Demas has to keep it to a decision, which is likely, as A. Alton is not a big scorer. While an upset would be awesome, I don’t think it’s necessary. 13-6 Ohio State 165 – Martin needs to not get pinned, and only get teched. 13-11 Ohio State 174 – Heflin has to win. Take it to OT, and get the victory, in rideouts, or however. He has to win. 16-11 Ohio State 184 – Magrum needs to hold Ruth to a major. I think he can, but it is no guarantee. 16-14 Ohio State 197 – Camp needs to not get pinned. He won’t get teched, but he cannot get pinned. 18-16 Penn State 285 – Capone needs to win. I think he is the favorite and should win, but he can’t get upset. 19-18 Ohio State. Now, do I think that is all possible in the same match, yes, I do. What probability would I give it, maybe 20%, maybe less. Either way, I can’t wait to watch the Bucks wrestle a big match with Logan in the lineup. While it hurt Illinois to not have Futrell, I really think that having Logan there, especially getting a pin over a ranked opponent, sets the tone for the night and gets the team going.
  15. I put this on another site. 125 – Nikko Triggas v. Sean Boyle. It seems like a long time ago that Triggas lost to Boyle’s backup, twice, in the same tournament. Triggas is the favorite, and a pin would be awesome. I think he gets Boyle down, turns him, and finishes him off. 6-0 Ohio State 133 – Logan Stieber v. Rossi Bruno. Logan pinned Bruno earlier in the season, and I think he repeats that result. 12-0 Ohio State 141 – Hunter Stieber v. Cam Jackson. Jackson has been very inconsistent this year, but does have a few high profile wins. I think Hunter controls the match, but not calling for bonus. 16-0 Ohio State *Edit - Hunter gets at least a major, if not a tech or pin.* 149 – Cam Tessari v. Eric Grajales. Grajales beat Cam twice last year, the second one being the epic multi-overtime match at Big Tens. I favor Grajales, but this is a pure toss up. 16-3 Ohio State 157 – Josh Demas v. Michael Carpenter/Brandon Zeerip. Demas is a strong favorite over each, and should look to put up a major. If he pushes the pace early I think he can get it. 20-3 Ohio State 165 – Mark Martin v . Taylor Massa. If I recall correctly, these two wrestled last year and Massa won a 1 point decision. However, Massa has been significantly more successful this year, including a tech over Pierce Hargar recently (Hargar beat Martin soundly). I think Martin wrestles smart, and tough, and holds it to a decision. 20-6 Ohio State 174 – Nick Heflin v. Daniel Yates. No rest for the dark horse, as he gets another tough opponent. Yates is much more explosive, and I expect him to push the pace here. Heflin will have to counter and not just block off, or he will lose a stalling point, especially in AA. I think Heflin gets one takedown off of a counter and the 3-2 victory. 23-6 Ohio State 184 – Cody Magrum v. Christopher Heald. Magrum should roll here, and I think he picks up bonus. At least a major, maybe a pin. 27-6 Ohio State 197 – Andrew Campalattano v. Max Huntley. Another good matchup that could go either way. Camp is better, no doubt about that in my mind, but he’s been inconsistent and missed the Illinois match. I’m taking Camp by decision, but not convinced about it. 30-6 Ohio State 285 – Peter Capone v. Ben Apland. A tough match for Capone against a guy who beat him last year. Capone has improved so much, and Apland just lost to Chalfant, so I’m taking Pete. 33-6 Ohio State While I have this as a blowout for the Bucks, it could definitely be a lot closer. Boyle could beat Triggas, Massa could pick up bonus, Yates could beat Heflin, Huntley could beat Camp and Apland could beat Capone. I doubt all of that happens in the same match, and I think overall Ohio State is a strong favorite, but it could definitely still be in doubt in the last few matches. If anyone wasn’t aware, the match will be on Big Ten Network on Friday at 6. Go Bucks!!!!!
  16. The computer has Gingrich over Capone? That's nonsense.
  17. What Ohio State needs to do to beat Penn State. 125 – Triggas needs to avoid bonus points. I don’t think he needs to win, he just needs to keep it to a decision. 3-0 Penn State 133 – Logan needs to pin Conaway. I think he can and will. 6-3 Ohio State 141 – Hunter needs to pick up a major over Pearsall. This may be the key additional point in the match. 10-3 Ohio State 149 – Cam has to win, that’s all. No bonus, no pin, just hang on until the third period and take advantage of a gassed Alton. 13-3 Ohio State 157 – Demas has to keep it to a decision, which is likely, as A. Alton is not a big scorer. While an upset would be awesome, I don’t think it’s necessary. 13-6 Ohio State 165 – Martin needs to not get pinned, and only get teched. 13-11 Ohio State 174 – Heflin has to win. Take it to OT, and get the victory, in rideouts, or however. He has to win. 16-11 Ohio State 184 – Magrum needs to hold Ruth to a major. I think he can, but it is no guarantee. 16-14 Ohio State 197 – Camp needs to not get pinned. He won’t get teched, but he cannot get pinned. 18-16 Penn State 285 – Capone needs to win. I think he is the favorite and should win, but he can’t get upset. 19-18 Ohio State. Now, do I think that is all possible in the same match, yes, I do. What probability would I give it, maybe 20%, maybe less. Either way, I can’t wait to watch the Bucks wrestle a big match with Logan in the lineup. While it hurt Illinois to not have Futrell, I really think that having Logan there, especially getting a pin over a ranked opponent, sets the tone for the night and gets the team going.
  18. I would just assume that the reason this dual was moved from Columbus to Oak Harbor is Cody Magrum, just like they wrestled a match at West Holmes a few years back for Colt Sponsellor. I cannot imagine that Tom Ryan would not let Cody Magrum wrestle in front of his home town crowd, regardless of who wins the wrestle off. Maybe I'm wrong.
  19. There is supposed to be a wrestle off on 1/25. However, I would expect Magrum to start against Illinois, as it is being wrestled at Oak Harbor High school, which is where Cody is from. We probably won't know who the starter is until the Bucks wrestle tsun on February 8th.
  20. If Heflin doesn't miss a month with an injury, he beats Evans. Heflin scored the only offensive points in regulation. The stalling was a little questionable, considering he was circling and did take a shot. He actually had a body lock, that he initiated, when he was hit the second time.
  21. St. John did not "have the leg". When Demas first hit the cradle, St. John grabbed the leg and locked hands around it. However, when being turned to his back, he lost his grip and his hands came apart. his left hand was trapped behind Demas' leg, and his right hand was out away from his body. It was a blown call. It happens. Luckily it didn't happen at nationals. Demas will get over it, and is starting to wrestle like we Ohio State fans had hoped he would this year.
  22. I put this on another board as well, but Ohio State has wrestled badly coming out of the break consistently during the Tom Ryan era. Not sure why, but it is a trend, for sure. They need to get the Big Ten to put Indiana on the schedule right after the break, or Michigan State. They need a warm up match.
  23. Trying not to be the guy that blames everything on the ref... No 2 for Demas... Stall call on Heflin when he's has a body lock... It's getting dicey.
  24. When Demas originally locked up the cradle, St. John had the leg locked. However, it's clear that when Demas turned him over, St. John lost complete control and was on his back. Should have been 2 & 2 for Demas, and then 1 or 2 for St. John. RT would have been stopped and, at worst, the match is tied. Terrible officiating in that situation.
  25. I could see Stieber by 4-6 only because if he has a 2-3 point lead late, I could see Ramos getting sloppy and Logan taking advantage and tacking on a takedown and potentially a 2 count.
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