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HokieHWT

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Everything posted by HokieHWT

  1. Get ****ed loser
  2. “I’m jealous of all the people who haven’t met you” or “I’d love to insult you but I’m afraid I won’t do it as well as nature did.” ~ Someone else You can pick.
  3. Is a married 18 year old woman not an adult?
  4. It’s not like this guy is a kid. All joking aside, he’s not. He’s a grown man and I’m betting his wife is older than she posts, as well.
  5. "The challenge is the same every year. The battle is in-state. The battle is the Big 10 Conference. The battle is national. The battle is planet Earth. And if they find life out there, then the battle will be universal."
  6. Because I’m dense, I thought he had become a Guardian in the US Space Force. Need more coffee, or sleep, or meth.
  7. GOAT? Not even close. BBB World and Olympic Medals ONLY 83 B 84 G 85 B 86 G 87 B 88 S 89 S 90 S 92 G 93 G 94 S 95 G 96 B
  8. Well I guess having at least one thing to do in SD might bring the state population to over 1,000, so smart move.
  9. “You get up two and a half million dollars, any jerk in the world knows what to do: you get a house with a 25 year roof, an indestructible economy crapbox, you put the rest into the system at three to five percent to pay your taxes and that's your base, get me? That's your fortress of solitude. That puts you, for the rest of your life, at a level of f you. Somebody wants you to do something, f you. Boss ticks you off, f you! Own your house. Have a couple bucks in the bank. Don't drink. That's all I have to say to anybody on any social level.” - John Goodman, as Frank, in “The Gambler”
  10. TBH, I would not have gone to college if it weren’t for sports and my academic scholarship. I hated school and only attended so I could play football, wrestle, and throw a shot put and discus. I would have followed my brother and father and joined the military. I often wish I had.
  11. Knight Commission’s Recommendations I give it three years before they do this and eliminate everything else.
  12. Fair enough. That means it was between 90.0 and 90.4% after initial testing. If it we’re 90.5% to 91.0% they would have said 91.0% effective. Was this suppose to be some kind of “gotcha”? Currently they have 94.5% effectiveness and are declaring 95%. Not sure what you’re going for? Every publicly available article I’d seen from either 11/9 or 11/10, cited said “90%”, including quotes from their representatives.
  13. Interesting but I wouldn’t have called him a “nobody” at the 2000 Olympics. He beat Ghaffarri, the 1996 Silver Medalist who only lost to Karelin 1-0. At 2000-1 to beat Karelin, there HAD to have been more than a few people who took these results and put down some money on Rulon. I was 18 years old and couldn’t, but I’d have put at least $100 on it.
  14. This was what I, poorly, was trying to allude to in the confounding variable comment I made. Unless everyone were exposed to the same environmental factors, their are always room for outside variables that cannot be accounted for, in the results. Since I’m not privy to that information, but it appears Billy is well versed on the studies, he may have an answer.
  15. I’m out of emotes but I’d give 100 likes/thanks if I could.
  16. Absolutely. Overall, what I was trying to do, and failed miserably at, was to make a point about trusting everything you read and here. I was trying to make a point that unless you are the ones performing the research, and having in-depth knowledge of every aspect, you can’t assume anything. It should be obvious, by now, I’m in the field. I’ve consulted with the CDC, ED, NIH and WHO, among others, this year and no one knows who’s working on what. It’s so compartmentalized, for various reasons, it’s hard to keep up with.
  17. I’m not concerned about the results. I think it’s wonderful. I don’t think they stacked anything. It’s merely a small sample size. It was just funny, not in a conspiracy way, that Pfizer said “we have 90%”, then Moderna said “we have 95%”, then Pfizer said “we have 95% as well!”.
  18. To be honest, I can’t answer that without seeing their methodology, sampling procedures, and how they are stratifying data. I won’t make assumptions on the results without causing someone to take it and say “well a guy I know said that...which is proof that this means....” It’s common knowledge, in any profession, that you can get the results you want by manipulating data. That does not mean that I’m accusing anyone of fraud, I’m not. I’m not saying anything was done unethically either. By manipulating data I don’t mean changing results on purpose either. By combining, merging, or deleting certain data in different ways you can end up with different results. In social science research, particularly in academia, it’s not uncommon to “clean” data to the point that you receive a statistically significant result with a p-value less than (p < .05) to be able to say “yes” or “no” to a research question.
  19. Ok I’ll drop this and then sit back and enjoy the thread from now on. CoVID Vacccine November 9-10: Pfizer & BioNTech; incomplete results; 90% effective November 16th: Moderna; complete results with safety data; 94.5% effective; submitted for emergency approval Today, November 18th: Pfizer & BioNTech; complete results including safety data; 95% effective; submitted for emergency appproval. Without seeing the sampling procedures/criteria, I couldn’t tell you whether their samples are valid but I do know they were small. 30-40K in the samples and only 100-180, respectively, contracted COVID. Of the 170 who contracted COVID in the Pfizer trial, 162 were in the placebo group and 8 had received the vaccine. The data isn’t public, only high level overviews of the findings. Additionally, confounding variables, stuff that can contribute to an observed result, such as age, weight, other sicknesses/diseases, etc., have not been mentioned, and that may be purposeful, which is concerning.
  20. :D (out of face clicks) yeah sorry I meant between two people. Although both could be wrong, I’ve seen that recently but can’t remember where....
  21. Difference is biostats are obtained from biology based experiments rather than something compiled from another realm, a social science for example. There aren’t that many differences, mathematically, just biostats are more applied than theoretical.
  22. Have you lived and worked in Hong Kong or Mainland China?
  23. Since someone in your house is a professional, have them show you a simulation of the pandemic using EpiModel on R. If they don’t use R, or have access to epidemiology add-ons to for their modeling software, try out GLEAMviz. I’ll leave it at this, but think I’m going to take some time off this thread for a while after, I guarantee you, few people are listening to what the true experts, not the mouth pieces, spokesperson, media release writers, the true experts, the ones working 80-100 hours a week on this. This is vague, I hope, enough to tell. I began consulting for a state department of education in the south central United States early summer. I was to use my expertise in education, research methods, epidemiology, and biostatistics to help that state open schools safely. By the end of August, they refused to listen, told the school districts if they didn’t open by a certain date those districts would not receive funding. I expressed concerns, was told I could resign, I explained I would but they would be required to pay out the remaining, agreed up compensation. They agreed. I now consultant, as I like, for various other organizations and it’s pretty much the same thing. I tell them what I found, sometimes they agree and I keep going, sometimes they don’t and I get paid to leave. Please try to stay healthy and safe everyone!
  24. The great thing about America is people can have a difference of opinion. The bad part is only half of those opinions are correct. Not saying yours is or isn’t. But the greatest question you can ever ask yourself is “but what if?”
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