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Everything posted by andegre

  1. It’s back! Each week we’ll put out a list of the biggest upsets that occurred over the weekend, where the upset wrestler is ranked in the top 20. These lists are going to be longer than normal for the first half of the season until wrestlers get “settled-in” to a more accurate ranking for this season. So, without delay, here’s our list! 157 - #87 Kendall Coleman (Purdue) beat #4 Will Lewan (Michigan) by SV-1 3 - 1 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50626/coleman-kendall/profile 141 - #6 Luke Pletcher (Ohio State) beat #4 Dominick Demas (Oklahoma) by TB-1 2 - 1 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/44636/pletcher-luke/profile 285 - #5 Mason Parris (Michigan) beat #4 Matt Stencel (Central Michigan) by DEC 9 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/51176/parris-mason/profile 157 - #13 Quincy Monday (Princeton) beat #5 Josh Humphreys (Lehigh) by DEC 11 - 5 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/53967/monday-quincy/profile 157 - #87 Kendall Coleman (Purdue) beat #6 Anthony Artalona (Pennsylvania) by DEC 10 - 7 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50626/coleman-kendall/profile 133 - #138 Theorius Robison (Northern Colorado) beat #8 Montorie Bridges (Wyoming) by DEC 3 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57246/robison-theorius/profile 197 - #70 Sam Schuyler (Buffalo) beat #10 Christian Brunner (Purdue) by DEC 3 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50361/schuyler-sam/profile 157 - #47 Zac Carson (Ohio) beat #11 Taleb Rahmani (Pittsburgh) by DEC 3 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/39692/carson-zac/profile 157 - #38 Jacob Tucker (Michigan State) beat #12 Jaden Mattox (Ohio State) by DEC 9 - 8 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/44639/tucker-jacob/profile 165 - #22 Quentin Perez (Campbell) beat #12 Kennedy Monday (North Carolina) by FALL 6:59 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/40421/perez-quentin/profile 125 - #23 Brock Hudkins (Indiana) beat #13 Drew Hildebrandt (Central Michigan) by DEC 3 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/44808/hudkins-brock/profile 149 - #67 McCoy Kent (Northern Illinois) beat #14 Mason Smith (Campbell) by DEC 6 - 1 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/39791/kent-mccoy/profile 184 - #66 Matthew Waddell (Chattanooga) beat #14 Dylan Wisman (Missouri) by DEC 8 - 5 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/49259/waddell-matthew/profile 125 - #131 Sam Latona (Virginia Tech) beat #15 Fabian Gutierrez (Chattanooga) by DEC 6 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/56742/latona-sam/profile 157 - #103 Phyllip DeLoach (Missouri) beat #15 AC Headlee (North Carolina) by FALL 11:00 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/40074/deloach-phyllip/profile 149 - #48 Kizhan Clarke (American) beat #15 Requir van der Merwe (Stanford) by DEC 11 - 5 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/44878/clarke-kizhan/profile 184 - #140 Jake Logan (Lehigh) beat #16 Chris Weiler (Lehigh) by DEC 5 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57185/logan-jake/profile 184 - #75 Luke Hodsden (Army) beat #16 Chris Weiler (Lehigh) by DEC 4 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/45121/hodsden-luke/profile 184 - #110 Zach Braunagel (Illinois) beat #18 Cameron Caffey (Michigan State) by MD 15 - 7 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50925/braunagel-zach/profile 125 - #60 Jake Ferri (Kent State) beat #18 Luke Werner (Lock Haven) by DEC 5 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/51179/ferri-jake/profile 165 - #50 Reece Hughes (Michigan) beat #18 Ethan Smith (Ohio State) by DEC 6 - 4 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/49181/hughes-reece/profile 157 - #40 Jacob Wright (Fresno State) beat #18 Luke Weiland (Army) by DEC 7 - 2 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/49463/wright-jacob/profile 174 - #34 Jacob Oliver (Edinboro) beat #18 Andrew McNally (Kent State) by FALL 3:15 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/49130/oliver-jacob/profile 125 - #30 Willy Girard (Bloomsburg) beat #18 Luke Werner (Lock Haven) by DEC 8 - 7 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/45191/girard-willy/profile 184 - #29 Jelani Embree (Michigan) beat #18 Cameron Caffey (Michigan State) by TB-1 10 - 8 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/49179/embree-jelani/profile 165 - #152 Carson Kharchla (Ohio State) beat #19 Troy Keller (Buffalo) by TF5 19 - 2 0:00 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/57703/kharchla-carson/profile 149 - #49 Pj Ogunsanya (Army) beat #19 Cole Martin (Wisconsin) by TB-2 6 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/54496/ogunsanya-pj/profile 125 - #115 Jace Koelzer (Northern Colorado) beat #20 Cole Verner (Wyoming) by DEC 6 - 4 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/50912/koelzer-jace/profile 165 - #105 Joseph Terry (Ohio) beat #20 Drew Hughes (Michigan State) by DEC 6 - 4 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/45561/terry-joseph/profile 184 - #99 Taylor Cahill (Buffalo) beat #20 Gavin Hoffman (Ohio State) by DEC 5 - 3 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/39848/cahill-taylor/profile 184 - #62 Peter Acciardi (Buffalo) beat #20 Gavin Hoffman (Ohio State) by DEC 10 - 5 http://www.wrestlestat.com/wrestler/51069/acciardi-peter/profile Blog Post: https://wrestlestat.wordpress.com/2019/11/04/weekend-upsets-with-wrestlestat-week-1-2020/
  2. FINALLY! It’s been a long offseason, with many changes and enhancements to WrestleStat. If you’re reading this, you’ve probably heard….(hint #FCW). But, let’s get to the topic-at-hand, we have our opening weekend of dual comparisons! Our featured dual this weekend is on Saturday where #10 Virginia Tech travels to #5 Missouri. This is a VERY even matchup on paper, with only 2 real weights where 1 wrestler is heavily favored, and each school has 1 of them. As you may have already noticed, WrestleStat is now keeping track of any streams for duals and tournaments. This event happens to have a stream available via ESPN. Catch it if you can! Anyway, here’s our lineup: Friday: 11/01 #12 Wisconsin vs #25 Army https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/77/wisconsin/5/army 11/01 #29 Navy vs #12 Wisconsin https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/44/navy/77/wisconsin 11/01 #31 Fresno State vs #12 Wisconsin https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/829/fresno-state/77/wisconsin 11/01 #31 Fresno State vs #25 Army https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/829/fresno-state/5/army 11/01 #31 Fresno State vs #29 Navy https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/829/fresno-state/44/navy 11/01 #9 Minnesota vs #56 CSU Bakersfield https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/42/minnesota/21/csu-bakersfield 11/01 #59 Chattanooga vs #47 Southern Illinois Edwardsville https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/16/chattanooga/69/southern-illinois-edwardsville Saturday: 11/02 #10 Virginia Tech vs #5 Missouri https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/74/virginia-tech/43/missouri 11/02 #11 Virginia vs #53 Maryland https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/73/virginia/39/maryland 11/02 #69 California Baptist (Calif) vs #29 Navy https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/97/california-baptist-calif/44/navy 11/02 #63 Kent State vs #44 Edinboro https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/36/kent-state/26/edinboro 11/02 #49 Rutgers vs #78 Long Island University-Post https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/66/rutgers/193/long-island-university-post Sunday: 11/03 #40 North Dakota State vs #56 CSU Bakersfield https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/dual/49/north-dakota-state/21/csu-bakersfield
  3. Haha, yes, 100%. I've been meaning to implement/weight-heavier previous head-to-head matchups for over a year now, but still have not gotten to it. Previous h2h, and applying probability to the actual result type (aka DEC/TF/FALL/etc) for each individual wrestler are the changes I really need to get done....but haven't. Would definitely add more credibility to the prediction engine (and success rate).
  4. That's how much the wrestler moved up/better (green) or down/worse (in red). For preseason, it's using last years final rankings as comparison. The MAJORIY of wrestlers are going to show up in green for these rankings since last years seniors have been removed, and thus most wrestlers moving up. The outliers are going to be the wrestlers that ALSO switched weights vs last season.
  5. May as well, everyone else is doing it! This summer we cranked through another couple thousand rounds of simulations to get a new and improved algorithm for the WrestleStat rankings. The 2 major components that were changed and implemented were 1) incorporating the RPI into the algorithm, and 2) moving the 14-match equilibrium to a "per-season" basis. The reason for this change is for the wrestlers that make big improvements later in their careers. Now that these changes have been applied, we updated both of the dual and tournament rankings. If you've looked at the rankings at all this summer, then you'll notice the difference at the top/#1. Here they are: Wrestler Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/starters Dual Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/dual Tournament Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/tournament Redshirt Rankings: https://www.wrestlestat.com/rankings/redshirts Don't forget to get signed up for #FantasyCollegeWrestling! The season gets underway on Friday, don't miss out! https://www.wrestlestat.com/fcw
  6. Sure, 10 users in group, 15 on roster, therefore 15 rounds. Each user will have 2 minutes per pick. Custom rosters was another thing I wanted to be able to do (or a draft without timers), but it never got completed in time. Sorry. Depending on the format, I may be able to help you out if you twist my arm hard enough ;) Edit: sorry, let me expand on this, I was in a hurry earlier... Also in the draft, if your 2 minute timer expires, then you will automatically receive the best available wrestler (according to your need weights). If you forget about the draft, or can't make it, the commissioner has the ability to toggle any user to "AutoPick" ONLY if that user has been out of the draft room for more than 5 minutes. (end edit) To the other posters above regarding feedback: first, THANK YOU, it's very much appreciated. Most/all of those items will be addressed and fixed for next season. Just not possible to do for this season.
  7. It's possible, and a few people did it while beta-testing this summer, but it's A LOT of scrolling on a phone. With the long lists of wrestlers, and all the extra "sections" that are on the page, it's not optimized for mobile.....YET. I will work on trying to make it work better for mobile, but can't promise anything with drafts already scheduled to start in the next couple days. I don't want to implement something I'm not 100% sure on, then have the entire draft process blow up for EVERYONE because I didn't test enough before deploying.
  8. Primary purpose was it would introduce a different strategy for just the 2 playoff weeks. Let me explain... The entire season is predicated around weekly matchups where it's a mixture of tournaments and duals, with the 2nd half of the season being primarily duals. Using the last 2 weeks of the regular/dual season as the playoff weeks, we stay under the same format/strategy of setting a roster instead of just the top wrestlers on your roster. This was one of the big things we debated all summer, and ultimately decided to leave them out. We will definitely address this again next offseason, as it's obviously too late to change things now (because of all the testing that would need to be done).
  9. Hey Wrestling fans, we are excited to announce the #FantasyCollegeWrestling on WrestleStat is officially open! We really hope you enjoy it, and you have any questions/comments/concerns, don't hesitate in reaching out to us at support@wrestlestat.com. https://www.wrestlestat.com/fcw
  10. Yes, when auto-pick is turned on, it will take the TOP wrestler, according to that user's "need weights", from the "Top 300/Best Available" list. If you check the "Top 300" page, that's the exact order of how they'd get drafted if auto-pick is turned on for everyone. But, the "Simulate Remainder of Draft", I believe, will choose, AT RANDOM, between the top 5 in the Need Weights/Best Available list...that was done to try and introduce SOME randomness when I test with all of the simulated users.
  11. Looking for 2 more people to fill this group for a 3:30PM EST draft today... https://www.wrestlestat.com/fcw/group/32/join
  12. It's been made public that JRent's father was going through chemo last season/year...that's why he wasn't wrestling.
  13. It's not set-in-stone yet, but it will most-likely use dual scoring format, and it will be weekly head-to-head "matches" vs one other user in your league. Then the following week, it will be against a different user in your group. Winners will be determined by the W/L record, with tiebreaker being total points scored throughout the season.
  14. I don't believe that's the case. You ALWAYS [or at least should have] the ability to edit the roster for the following fantasy week, whether that's via starter changes, trades, or free agency transactions. For the trades, have you selected which other user in your league that you want to trade with? You have to do that, before you can see the rosters.... LMK
  15. Opened up for testing... https://wrestlestat.wordpress.com/2019/07/23/fcw-fantasy-college-wrestling/
  16. We're working on implementing the RPI calculations into the WrestleStat rankings algorithm....over 500 simulations have been done so far; I'd say we're making progress!!!
  17. I feel honored that our site ranks up there with "we landed on the moon", easily my favorite movie!
  18. Waymit! Did my "Oregon State alum who doesn't do social media" just get an account on this forum? lol
  19. Our last installment... https://wrestlestat.wordpress.com/2019/03/26/wrestlestat-rankings-final-2019/
  20. Hey @Ching, can you send me a couple of your excel file? My "Oregon State Alum who doesn't do social media" is already sending me modifications to start running simulations against....we're gonna get first eventually!!!
  21. It’s BASED/ORIGINATED from the Elo algorithm, with many changes to work for wrestling. There are approximately 10 different equations/algorithms that go into the whole thing. Then I wrote a simulation engine last off-season to allow me to do thousands of simulations to continually optimize it.
  22. Thanks again Ching! One thing that we/WrestleStat would also like to point out, if you exclude 285, WrestleStat was #1. (I know, picking data to fulfill my argument....). Pretty cool to see though, that all of the work myself and my algorithm guy did this offseason paid off in a BIG way. (Last year we scored around 515 if I recall). Thanks algorithm guy ;) Scratch that, leaving out 285 OR 157 and WrestleStat wins... :) edit 2: my “algorithm guy” wants his name changed to: “Oregon State Alum who doesn't do social media”, so thank you, “Oregon State Alum who doesn't do social media”
  23. https://wrestlestat.wordpress.com/2019/03/14/ncaa-wrestling-championships-wrestlestat-comparison-hub/
  24. https://wrestlestat.wordpress.com/2019/03/22/2019-ncaa-championships-blood-round-comparisons/
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