Jump to content

rpm002

Members
  • Content Count

    545
  • Joined

  • Last visited

  • Days Won

    2

Reputation Activity

  1. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Yellow_Medal in Calling my shot: Graff over Colon   
    I'm pretty surprised the Flo guys and 80% of pickers in the final X pool are taking Colon over Graff.  Personally, I think Graff is quite likely to win this matchup.  Here's why:
    First, here is the history of Colon vs Graff:
    They met 3 times in their senior years in college.  Colon won 6-0 in a dual at UNI, Colon won 6-3 in the Midlands semifinals, and Graff won 6-4 in the NCAA semifinal.  Then they met in 2017 in the Dave Schultz semifinals, where Graff won 11-0.  In both folkstyle matches Colon won, he turned Graff from the top position twice and also got a riding time point.  In the NCAA semi, Colon got 2 escapes and 2 stall points from the top position.  And obviously in the freestyle matchup, Colon didn't score. There's two big things to note.  First the trendline is clearly in Graff's favor.... he's done better against Colon each time.  But even more critically:  Colon has 0 career takedowns vs. Graff in their 4 matchups (vs 5 for Graff)!  
    Now let's go to the tape from their 1 freestyle match-up:  
     
    Graff gets 2 takedowns, one at the 3:06 mark and one at the 4:45 mark of the video.  They are very similar and classic Graff single-leg attacks where he gets the leg, but keeps his body away and to Colon's side.  This is the best way to attack Colon  If you get between his legs (as Nico often does and Graff did at the 2:07 mark of this video, without success) or go for double legs (like Garrett often does), you leave yourself vulnerable to Colon's world-class chest wrap.  But swing singles are what Graff does and that is the best possible type of attack to have in your arsenal vs. Colon.
    Obviously if Colon does somehow get on top, his gut wrench is very dangerous.   But Graff's par terre is quite good as well and given the history between the two, he is the more likely to get a chance to use it.  
    The Flo guys haven't really gone into much detail but seem to be picking Colon with confidence because "Graff is inconsistent".  But in the time since getting teched by Graff above, Colon has losses to Wright, Kindig, Brewer (by tech), Garrett twice (the 2nd being a tech in the first 90 seconds), and Suriano.  So I don't really see one guy as  much more consistent than the other.  Both have had their share of big wins and tough losses.
    The bottom line is the way to beat Colon is to clear ties to stay out of trouble (avoid double unders), don't take bad shots that Colon will counter,  but instead selectively choose your spots to take single leg attacks.  Graff did this previously and his SKWC counterpart Suriano just did it against Colon as well.  Styles make fights and I think this Graff's style matches up very well and with Colon and he will prevail and advance to Worlds.
     
     
  2. Thanks
    rpm002 got a reaction from tommytechnique in Final X - Lincoln   
    It got buried by all the Final X Rutgers threads, but I detailed why I'm taking Graff over Colon here: 
     
  3. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from misterc in Final X - Lincoln   
    It got buried by all the Final X Rutgers threads, but I detailed why I'm taking Graff over Colon here: 
     
  4. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in Final X - Lincoln   
    It got buried by all the Final X Rutgers threads, but I detailed why I'm taking Graff over Colon here: 
     
  5. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from simple in Let's play out logic for Bo going 92 at WTT challenge   
    NLWC prioritizes Taylor.  Nickal potentially getting a bye to the finals of Olympic qualifying at Taylor's weight would cause all sorts of headaches and messiness (think along the lines of the Ramos vs. Dennis aftermath, only tweak that scenario such that Ramos was coming off a world title and played a big role in putting Iowa on the wrestling map) that NLWC doesn't want to deal with.  Personally I think it is as simple as that.
  6. Like
    rpm002 reacted to Eagle26 in The call   
    We need a separate thread for this... I actually think the right guy won but the wrong way. There are several things to question though. The move in question was called 2 blue by the mat ref. According to the Flo announcers, the judge called it two red and the chairman called it 2-2. 2-2 went one the board. So my first question is, if all three officials disagree, what should go on the scoreboard? I thought two out of three have to agree. Is it possible that the officials realized this and went back to review that scoring sequence on their own (like an officials review, not a challenge)? Also, I believe if it is one continuous move, which it clearly was in this case, it cannot be scored 2-2. So the score was obviously wrong, and they needed to determine who initiated. This is very debatable and I have watched it several times and can see a case for both. However since the score being wrong definitely affects the match, would “bad time” be appropriate, and could they have gone back to like 45 seconds left? Finally, I want to mention that the sequence in the very beginning of the match looked like only two separate moves to me not three. I don’t think the first one can be called 4-2. I think it’s either 4 red or 2 blue depending on who’s move it is... I’d call it 4 red. Immediately after that it’s an obvious 2 for Yianni. So is the protest going to change anything?
  7. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from drag it in Calling my shot: Graff over Colon   
    I'm pretty surprised the Flo guys and 80% of pickers in the final X pool are taking Colon over Graff.  Personally, I think Graff is quite likely to win this matchup.  Here's why:
    First, here is the history of Colon vs Graff:
    They met 3 times in their senior years in college.  Colon won 6-0 in a dual at UNI, Colon won 6-3 in the Midlands semifinals, and Graff won 6-4 in the NCAA semifinal.  Then they met in 2017 in the Dave Schultz semifinals, where Graff won 11-0.  In both folkstyle matches Colon won, he turned Graff from the top position twice and also got a riding time point.  In the NCAA semi, Colon got 2 escapes and 2 stall points from the top position.  And obviously in the freestyle matchup, Colon didn't score. There's two big things to note.  First the trendline is clearly in Graff's favor.... he's done better against Colon each time.  But even more critically:  Colon has 0 career takedowns vs. Graff in their 4 matchups (vs 5 for Graff)!  
    Now let's go to the tape from their 1 freestyle match-up:  
     
    Graff gets 2 takedowns, one at the 3:06 mark and one at the 4:45 mark of the video.  They are very similar and classic Graff single-leg attacks where he gets the leg, but keeps his body away and to Colon's side.  This is the best way to attack Colon  If you get between his legs (as Nico often does and Graff did at the 2:07 mark of this video, without success) or go for double legs (like Garrett often does), you leave yourself vulnerable to Colon's world-class chest wrap.  But swing singles are what Graff does and that is the best possible type of attack to have in your arsenal vs. Colon.
    Obviously if Colon does somehow get on top, his gut wrench is very dangerous.   But Graff's par terre is quite good as well and given the history between the two, he is the more likely to get a chance to use it.  
    The Flo guys haven't really gone into much detail but seem to be picking Colon with confidence because "Graff is inconsistent".  But in the time since getting teched by Graff above, Colon has losses to Wright, Kindig, Brewer (by tech), Garrett twice (the 2nd being a tech in the first 90 seconds), and Suriano.  So I don't really see one guy as  much more consistent than the other.  Both have had their share of big wins and tough losses.
    The bottom line is the way to beat Colon is to clear ties to stay out of trouble (avoid double unders), don't take bad shots that Colon will counter,  but instead selectively choose your spots to take single leg attacks.  Graff did this previously and his SKWC counterpart Suriano just did it against Colon as well.  Styles make fights and I think this Graff's style matches up very well and with Colon and he will prevail and advance to Worlds.
     
     
  8. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Underhook in Calling my shot: Graff over Colon   
    I'm pretty surprised the Flo guys and 80% of pickers in the final X pool are taking Colon over Graff.  Personally, I think Graff is quite likely to win this matchup.  Here's why:
    First, here is the history of Colon vs Graff:
    They met 3 times in their senior years in college.  Colon won 6-0 in a dual at UNI, Colon won 6-3 in the Midlands semifinals, and Graff won 6-4 in the NCAA semifinal.  Then they met in 2017 in the Dave Schultz semifinals, where Graff won 11-0.  In both folkstyle matches Colon won, he turned Graff from the top position twice and also got a riding time point.  In the NCAA semi, Colon got 2 escapes and 2 stall points from the top position.  And obviously in the freestyle matchup, Colon didn't score. There's two big things to note.  First the trendline is clearly in Graff's favor.... he's done better against Colon each time.  But even more critically:  Colon has 0 career takedowns vs. Graff in their 4 matchups (vs 5 for Graff)!  
    Now let's go to the tape from their 1 freestyle match-up:  
     
    Graff gets 2 takedowns, one at the 3:06 mark and one at the 4:45 mark of the video.  They are very similar and classic Graff single-leg attacks where he gets the leg, but keeps his body away and to Colon's side.  This is the best way to attack Colon  If you get between his legs (as Nico often does and Graff did at the 2:07 mark of this video, without success) or go for double legs (like Garrett often does), you leave yourself vulnerable to Colon's world-class chest wrap.  But swing singles are what Graff does and that is the best possible type of attack to have in your arsenal vs. Colon.
    Obviously if Colon does somehow get on top, his gut wrench is very dangerous.   But Graff's par terre is quite good as well and given the history between the two, he is the more likely to get a chance to use it.  
    The Flo guys haven't really gone into much detail but seem to be picking Colon with confidence because "Graff is inconsistent".  But in the time since getting teched by Graff above, Colon has losses to Wright, Kindig, Brewer (by tech), Garrett twice (the 2nd being a tech in the first 90 seconds), and Suriano.  So I don't really see one guy as  much more consistent than the other.  Both have had their share of big wins and tough losses.
    The bottom line is the way to beat Colon is to clear ties to stay out of trouble (avoid double unders), don't take bad shots that Colon will counter,  but instead selectively choose your spots to take single leg attacks.  Graff did this previously and his SKWC counterpart Suriano just did it against Colon as well.  Styles make fights and I think this Graff's style matches up very well and with Colon and he will prevail and advance to Worlds.
     
     
  9. Like
    rpm002 reacted to steamboat_charlie v2 in Alex Dieringer Day at Port Washington HS   
    That's pretty cool.  
    Also, why was this filmed on a TI-82 calculator?
  10. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in Cox vs "Snyder or Taylor"   
    Cox did win back in the day (for Flo members):  https://www.flowrestling.org/video/5399583-220-jf-r5-jden-cox-mo-vs-kyle-snyder-md
  11. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Ragu in Final X Pick'em Contest   
    Wow, prophetic post.  Since the news broke before the deadline, all entries will automatically be changed to "Downey - Lock".  No need to do anything.
  12. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Ragu in Final X Pick'em Contest   
    Well, there's plenty of time left for you to run your own contest... Lol 
    Seriously, confidence pools are fun too.... I think forcing people to choose "is this a lock for me or not" is a more interesting decision than "should I make this my 3 point pick or my 4 point pick?" 
  13. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Ogalthorpe Haywood in Final X Pick'em Contest   
    Well, there's plenty of time left for you to run your own contest... Lol 
    Seriously, confidence pools are fun too.... I think forcing people to choose "is this a lock for me or not" is a more interesting decision than "should I make this my 3 point pick or my 4 point pick?" 
  14. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from steamboat_charlie v2 in Final X Pick'em Contest   
    Here are the rules for the Final X pick'em contest:
    Entries are due June 7th.  You can change your entry before the deadline if you want, but please do this as a new post rather than editing your original post. You pick the winner of all 10 match-ups and also decide which of your picks are "locks". Picks that a "lock" are worth 10 points if correct, but if you get even 1 of your locks wrong, your entire entry is disqualified  Picks that are not a "lock" are worth 1 point (so they are basically just a tiebreaker) If there are wrestle-offs after Final X, we will wait until those are decided before declaring a winner Probably obvious, but any sort of forfeit or injury default counts as a loss for that wrestler and a win for their opponent To give an example of what an entry should look like, my entry is:
    57 Fix
    61 Graff - LOCK
    65 Zain
    70 Green - LOCK
    74 Burroughs - LOCK
    79 Dieringer
    86 Taylor - LOCK
    92 Cox - LOCK
    97 Snyder - LOCK
    125 Gwiz - LOCK
     
    Let me know if you have any questions.  Good luck!
  15. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Keisha_Phillips in 2019 WTT Contest   
    Final Standings:
     
    lu1979 53 rpm002 50 alliseeisgold 40 Eagle26 40 Jon_Jozak 39 steamboat charlie 36 Keisha_Phillips 36 bnwtwg 35 Perry 33 nhs67 33 spladle 30 dmm53 26 hbluejr 26  
     
    lu1979 tied for last in the US Open contest, but redeemed himself by winning this contest.  I finished second and would have tied for first if Oliver had beaten Molinaro for True Second, but it was not to be. 
    I think the best possible score would have been 66 if someone had Graff, Zain, IMAR, Dieringer, Downey, Gable, and 2 out of 4 of Cruz, Ashnault, Walz, or Macchiavello 
    Congratulations lu1979! If you PM me with your paypal or Venmo ID, I will send you $10 for your efforts.  Thanks to all who participated.  I will probably do a Final X contest in a bit different format.  Might depend on if there are delayed wrestle-offs, etc.  Stay tuned!
  16. Like
    rpm002 reacted to spladle08 in WTT Trial Finals Thread   
    He and Ringer have had some really close ones in the past. Coupled with his inactivity and Ringer's current form. I dont think there will be anything "easy" about it
  17. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Jon_Kozak in 2019 WTT Contest   
    Final Standings:
     
    lu1979 53 rpm002 50 alliseeisgold 40 Eagle26 40 Jon_Jozak 39 steamboat charlie 36 Keisha_Phillips 36 bnwtwg 35 Perry 33 nhs67 33 spladle 30 dmm53 26 hbluejr 26  
     
    lu1979 tied for last in the US Open contest, but redeemed himself by winning this contest.  I finished second and would have tied for first if Oliver had beaten Molinaro for True Second, but it was not to be. 
    I think the best possible score would have been 66 if someone had Graff, Zain, IMAR, Dieringer, Downey, Gable, and 2 out of 4 of Cruz, Ashnault, Walz, or Macchiavello 
    Congratulations lu1979! If you PM me with your paypal or Venmo ID, I will send you $10 for your efforts.  Thanks to all who participated.  I will probably do a Final X contest in a bit different format.  Might depend on if there are delayed wrestle-offs, etc.  Stay tuned!
  18. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from Full Nelson in Predict the world team   
    Could change my mind on a couple of these, but right now I lean:
    Fix
    Graff
    Yianni
    Green
    JB
    Ringer
    Taylor
    Cox
    Snyder
    Gwiz
  19. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from steamboat_charlie v2 in 2019 WTT Contest   
    Final Standings:
     
    lu1979 53 rpm002 50 alliseeisgold 40 Eagle26 40 Jon_Jozak 39 steamboat charlie 36 Keisha_Phillips 36 bnwtwg 35 Perry 33 nhs67 33 spladle 30 dmm53 26 hbluejr 26  
     
    lu1979 tied for last in the US Open contest, but redeemed himself by winning this contest.  I finished second and would have tied for first if Oliver had beaten Molinaro for True Second, but it was not to be. 
    I think the best possible score would have been 66 if someone had Graff, Zain, IMAR, Dieringer, Downey, Gable, and 2 out of 4 of Cruz, Ashnault, Walz, or Macchiavello 
    Congratulations lu1979! If you PM me with your paypal or Venmo ID, I will send you $10 for your efforts.  Thanks to all who participated.  I will probably do a Final X contest in a bit different format.  Might depend on if there are delayed wrestle-offs, etc.  Stay tuned!
  20. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in Monday Morning Headlines   
    Well, I was one match off, but still a good prediction. 
    If it had to end here, I bet Ramos is happy that at least his last ever win came against Iowa. 
  21. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in 2019 WTT Contest   
    Rules:  You have $2500 to spend.   (This is a lot higher than the max for the US Open contest, so you can afford to pick a couple extra stars this time).  
    You pick a team of wrestlers competing at WTT at the prices listed below.  Max 1 wrestler per weight class.  You can leave as many weights as you want empty (so at the extremes, your lineup could have as few as 4 wrestlers or as many as 10).    "Anyone else" means "you have to name 1 wrestler who I did not list at this weight".  It does not mean "you get the entire rest of the field" :)
    Scoring is very simple:
    The 10 wrestlers who advance to Final X earn 10 points each
    The 10 wrestlers who make the US National Team but do not advance to Final X earn 3 points each (my understanding is that they will be wrestling for true third at this event, not at Final X like they did last year)
    No one else earns any points. 
    The entry with the most total points across all their wrestlers wins.  I'll post results by Monday at the latest.  Might be a small prize for the winner... we'll see. :)
    Good luck!
    57 KG   Gilman  $        700 Richards  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     61 KG   Brewer  $        500 Megaludis  $        400 Graff  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     65 KG   Zain  $        400 Oliver  $        400 Molinaro  $        200 Ness  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     70 KG   Green  $        600 Pantaleo  $        200 Hidlay  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     74 KG   Imar  $        500 Nolf  $        400 Gantt  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     79 KG   Dieringer  $        500 Z Valencia  $        300 Hall  $        300 Anyone else  $        100     86 KG   Downey  $        500 Heflin  $        200 Brooks  $        200 Martin  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     92 KG   Nickal  $        700 Zilmer  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     97KG   Gadson  $        700 Honis  $        200 Anyone else  $        100     125 KG   Coon  $        600 Nelson  $        200 Steveson  $        200 Anyone else  $        100
  22. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in Monday Morning Headlines   
    This is so right.  It's been slipping recently, but if you look at 5 years ending at the US Open last year, Ramos's record in close matches is unbelievable.
  23. Like
    rpm002 got a reaction from spladle08 in Monday Morning Headlines   
    I don't think he is too old (believe he's the same age as Dake and Taylor and only a year or so older than Nico) but I think 57kg under old rules was perfect for him.  Now he's a bit of a tweener.  (well, that, plus Fix and Gilman are both really good)
  24. Thanks
    rpm002 got a reaction from Relentless125 in Predict the world team   
  25. Like
    rpm002 reacted to Gantry in Yianni's potential opponenets   
    This is incorrect, Bonne did not show up to the tournament where he supposedly lost to Whitford and Clark.  He did lose to Colon though...
×
×
  • Create New...