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ugarte

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Posts posted by ugarte


  1. Typed this out on the Cornell hockey forum so I may as well put it here. 

    *blithely pretending the tournament won't be cancelled*

    So, the brackets are out for the NCAA tournament. Let's see how they look for the Big Red.

    125: No surprise as Dom LaJoie is the 32 seed in a 33 man field. He won a pair at EIWA to qualify for the tournament but lost his next three to slide to 6th place and has a losing record on the season. His opponent? The 33 seed, Antonio Maninno (Drexel), who LaJoie beat in OT to qualify for the tournament. It is also no surprise that Maninno is LaJoie's opponent in this pigtail match since he ALSO has a losing record on the season. The winner of this match has the privilege of getting absolutely wrecked in the first round by #1 Spencer Lee. If he loses to Maninno, he'll almost certainly face Logan Griffin of Michigan State. He lost to Griffin's backup earlier this season, so that's not great. After that, he'll get pinned or teched by Lee (sorry) and then face the loser of Nick Aguilar (Rutgers), who beat him 10-5 earlier this year and Jacob Schwarm (Northern Iowa) a 3x national qualifier. There are no good paths as the 32 seed.

    133: Chas Tucker indeed received the 3 seed and the committee decided to have a little fun. His first round opponent is DJ Fehlman (Lock Haven), who upset Tucker in the first round at last year's tournament. Tucker beat Fehlman this year but he also beat him in the regular season last year. Was it on purpose? Who is to say. If he wins he faces the winner of #14 Ridge Lovett (Wisconsin) and #19 Allan Hart (Missouri). If he loses his opening bout, he faces the loser of that match. He'd be the favorite over either but both are going to be tough matches. The #6 wrestler is Austin DeSanto (Iowa). When DeSanto was a freshman at Drexel he beat Tucker in a dual meet but Tucker got him back in the EIWA semifinals. DeSanto is incredibly talented but a real jerk on the mat. I want to see Tucker beat him. It's going to be a great match.

    141: Another match that makes you think the committee is messing around. Baughman gets the 22 seed and will face #11 Zach Sherman, who he beat in SV at the North Carolina dual. Up next would be either 2x All-American #6 Chad Red (Nebraska) or #27 Cole Matthews (Pitt).

    149: #25 Hunter Richard has #8 Jarrett Degen (Iowa State) in the first round. Degen beat him last year. The winner faces either #9 Collin Purinton (Nebraska) or #24 Russell Rohlfing (Bakersfield). Richard hasn't faced either.

    174: #30 Brandon Womack will face #3 Jordan Kutler (Lehigh). Kutler has won all three of their meetings. Up next would be either #14 Clay Lautt (N. Carolina) or #19 Kimball Bastian (Utah Valley). He's never faced Lautt but Bastian knocked him out of the 2018 NCAA tournament. Would be nice to get revenge but I'm not sure that Womack is fully recovered from his December injury. I definitely didn't expect him to make the tournament. He can pin anyone but he never did quite learn neutral defense.

    184: #28 Jonathan Loew takes on #5 Trent Hidlay (NC State). Hidlay majored him last year when both were taking a gap year. Up next would either be #12 Zack Carlson (S. Dakota St.) or #21 Billy Janzer (Rutgers) both of who beat Loew earlier this season. I hope Loew has revenge on his mind.

    197: Couldn't really expect a higher seed than #4 for Ben Darmstadt after he lost to an unranked wrestler from North Carolina. Otherwise he's been a buzzsaw at 197. He opens against #29 Hunter Ritter (Minnesota) and then follows with either #13 Thomas Lane (Cal-Poly), - who Ben Honis beat last year in the blood round to get All American - or #20 JT Brown (Army), who was Darmstadt's high school teammate and he's known since they were little kids. Darmstadt won 6-1 in the EIWA semis last week.

    285: #28 Brendan Furman has a really tough path, as you'd expect for #28. First, #5 Matt Stencel (C. Michigan.), a returning All American. Up next, either #12 Josh Hokit (Fullerton) - another All American, or #21 David Jensen (Nebraska).

    As you can see, aside from Tucker and Darmstadt, the next best seed is #22 Baughman. That explains how shocking and cool it was for Cornell to put 8 guys in the field. We are unlikely to rack up many team points outside of our big two but if last week showed us anything... you never know. Let's Go Red!

    Unless the tournament was called off while I was typing.


  2. 17 minutes ago, rocklobsta said:

    Spoke with a coach and he said his wrestlers are out.  Assume that applies to all Ivy wrestlers.

    not necessarily. Harvard is canceling more aggressively. Harvard and Yale both pulled out of the hockey postseason, but Cornell has not. The Ivy League is giving individual schools the choice on winter sports postseason games. 


  3. 1 minute ago, MSU158 said:

    I am sorry, but even adding the normal people attendance to the streamership, is NOT going to remotely compare to the International volume those 2 events get!  NOT EVEN CLOSE!

    CBS streams the hoops tournament every year. I think ESPN can fire up the backup generator.


  4. The Ivy League is canceling all spring sports; individual schools get to decide on what to do about winter sports for athletes/teams that make the postseason. Harvard already announced that they aren't going to play in the conference QF in hockey. I assume they aren't going to send anyone to Minneapolis, which opens up a few spots for alternates (Slavikouski is the only one I remember off the top of my head).


  5. 29 minutes ago, Asa Packer said:

    Belated congrats to Baughman . As someone observed earlier, had to have been frustrating when he was at 125 and the only AQ spot was the defending NC.

    And the prior year he hit Cruz in the semis before finishing third in a two-bid conference without true second. I was hoping he'd finally pull it off all year. Three years in the starting lineup, three top-three finishes, finally a trip to the big dance.


  6. 22 hours ago, ugarte said:

    a running thread on 184. All CR is all pre-tournament. RPI is from wrestlestat:

    Loew: RPI (28); CR (29); .700? (No); AQ wins: 2 (Weiler, Wisman); 5th in 4 bid EIWA

    Stefanik: RPI (29); CR (24); .700? (No*); AQ wins: 2 (Montalvo, Janzer);  6th in 4 bid EIWA

    Allard: RPI (18); CR (17); .700 (Yes); AQ wins: 1 (Embree); 5th in 3 bid MAC

    Webster: RPI (17); CR (16); .700 (No); AQ wins: 5 (Sebastian x2, Jordan, Montalvo, Carlson);11th in 10 bid Big 10

    Doyle: RPI (32); CR (32); .700 (Yes); AQ wins: 2 (Clothier, Morgan); 2nd in 1 bid Pac-12

    I will let someone else figure out how the committee compares the wrestlers because I'm not sure how they do it.

    * I am never sure how to calculate winning %. Stefanik is 13-7 plus a win over East Stroudsburg, a win over NYRTC and 2 wins wrestlestat has as "unknown" If all of those matches count, he's above .700 against all competition but otherwise is below .700. I suspect the East Stroudsburg matches don't count for winning percentage because Princeton doesn't even include them.

     

    my very quick superficial calculations have Loew ahead of Stefanik* ; and Doyle** and with 5 at-large available i feel very, very good about his chances. of course that all depends on my calculations being right and ... well... i wouldn't be too confident in me.

    * They are tied in a few categories but Loew has a better win %, RPI and tournament placement. Stefanik may hold his higher CR but even if he does, Loew wins more categories. 

    ** Doyle has higher win % but Loew has better RPI and COpp and should hold CR.


  7. 6 hours ago, ugarte said:

    a running thread on 184. All CR is all pre-tournament. RPI is from wrestlestat:

    Loew: RPI (28); CR (29); .700? (No); AQ wins: 2 (Weiler, Wisman); 5th in 4 bid EIWA

    Stefanik: RPI (29); CR (24); .700? (No*); AQ wins: 2 (Montalvo, Janzer);  6th in 4 bid EIWA

    Allard: RPI (18); CR (17); .700 (Yes); AQ wins: 1 (Embree); 5th in 3 bid MAC

    Webster: RPI (17); CR (16); .700 (No); AQ wins: 5 (Sebastian x2, Jordan, Montalvo, Carlson);11th in 10 bid Big 10

    Doyle: RPI (32); CR (32); .700 (Yes); AQ wins: 2 (Clothier, Morgan); 2nd in 1 bid Pac-12

    I will let someone else figure out how the committee compares the wrestlers because I'm not sure how they do it.

    * I am never sure how to calculate winning %. Stefanik is 13-7 plus a win over East Stroudsburg, a win over NYRTC and 2 wins wrestlestat has as "unknown" If all of those matches count, he's above .700 against all competition but otherwise is below .700. I suspect the East Stroudsburg matches don't count for winning percentage because Princeton doesn't even include them.

     

    Edited to confirm Webster gets credit for being one out of AQ because @SetonHallPirate gave me the heads up that Big wrestles a "true 11th" as necessary and Webster won it

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