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maligned

Weight class rankings by nation's performance: 97kg

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The Simple Rating System (SRS) is a common algorithm used as a starting point for determining point spreads.  It has a high level of predictive performance across many sports platforms, as it isolates "true ability" as it pertains to results within the context of schedule.  It is most predictive when it considers point differentials of game/match results.  Alternatively, it maintains strong predictive ability while also maintaining more "reward" or ranking intuitiveness when a standard point differential result is assigned to all matches.  

 

Below, I have used the SRS algorithm with a standard assigned 100-point result differential per match to slot the top 97kg wrestling nations using the 192 world championship, Olympic qualifying, and Olympic tournament matches that have been wrestled since 2014.  I have weighted 2014 world championship matches X 1, 2015 worlds and the six Olympic qualifying events X 2, and the 2016 Olympic tournament matches X 3.

 

Here are the results (100 is an average SRS grade here):

 

1. United States 249

2. Azerbaijan 218

3. Ukraine 195

4. Russia 191

5. Uzbekistan 163

6. Iran 160

7. Kyrgyzstan 153

8. Romania 149

9. Poland 148

10. Georgia 143

 

 

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Perhaps the most obviously notable thing at this weight class is Iran (i.e. Yazdani) down at #6.  Between injuries, bad refereeing, and opponents' steroids, Iran has 0 wins over the top 5 on this list in the last 3 years of world-level competitions.

Edited by maligned

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