Help with OSU and PennSt point spread

[russling 22]

My dad and I usually work up some points spreads for the key match ups but never agree. What changes should be made below to make it more accurate.

 

BoJo -2.5     

 

Zain-.3.5      

 

BoN -5.5    

 

Kyle -5.5

 

Thanks

[steamboat_charlie 727]

These aren't too bad, here's how I see it:

 

Suriano -5.0

Tomasello -8.5

Gulibon -1.0

Retherford -4.5

Nolf TF

Joseph -7.0

Jordan -2.0

Nickal -4.0

Moore -4.0

Snyder -8.0

[Roadkill 74]

These aren't too bad, here's how I see it:

 

Suriano -5.0- I would lay the points

Tomasello -8.5 I would lay the points

Gulibon -1.0-I would lay the points

Retherford -4.5-I would lay the points

Nolf TF-I think it will be a tech, so would not bet

Joseph -7.0-I would take the points

Jordan -2.0-I would take the points

Nickal -4.0-I would lay the points

Moore -4.0 I would take the points

Snyder -8.0- I would lay the points

[IronChef 1,071]

I wouldn't take Nevills unless I was getting at least double digits.

[boconnell 1,623]

Very cool idea.  This should be a regular topic for big duals/matches.  

 

Tomasello -14.5 

Gulibon - Pick em

Retherford -6.5

Jordan -1.0

Nickal -4.0

 

Retherford wins big here.  His only close matches the last two years are when guys can get away quickly.  Jordan couldn't get away from Sorenson so I don't see him getting away from Retherford.  

Edited February 2, 2017 by boconnell

[steamboat_charlie 727]

Retherford wins big here.  His only close matches the last two years are when guys can get away quickly.  Jordan couldn't get away from Sorenson so I don't see him getting away from Retherford.  

 

 

I tend to agree, but Retherford finally looked human for the first time in a while against Sorenson, and it's an away dual.  Jordan won't pick bottom against Retherford.  If it's a stalemate or close on their feet, I could see Zain winning 5-0 or 4-0.  

[LemonPie 1,368]

 

Very cool idea.  This should be a regular topic for big duals/matches.  

 

Tomasello -14.5 

Gulibon - Pick em

Retherford -6.5

Jordan -1.0

Nickal -4.0

 

Retherford wins big here.  His only close matches the last two years are when guys can get away quickly.  Jordan couldn't get away from Sorenson so I don't see him getting away from Retherford.  

 

You gotta bump Tomasello to -15.5 or more.  In no scenario does he not tech or pin.    16-point tech or pin for the win.  

Edited February 2, 2017 by LemonPie

[TBar1977 4,481]

Does Nolf get a TF or FALL against Ryan, or no betting line on the theory Ryan is a no go? 

[TBar1977 4,481]

What about team points? 

 

PSU minus 3.5?

[Housebuye 2,417]

What about team points?

 

PSU minus 3.5?

That sounds about right.

 

I have it 24-21 PSU

 

Best case for tOSU 23-12

 

Best case PSU 30-10

[hammerlockthree 2,581]

you don't bet wrestling like this you morons. Its an odds sport. 

Edited February 2, 2017 by hammerlockthree

[boconnell 1,623]

you don't bet wrestling like this you morons. Its an odds sport. 

But that leaves out the possibility of the backdoor cover when a guy who's losing dives in and gives up 2 with 5 seconds left.

[boconnell 1,623]

You gotta bump Tomasello to -15.5 or more.  In no scenario does he not tech or pin.    16-point tech or pin for the win.  

I left him at 14.5 because I wanted it to be possible to bet.  I didn't think about most TFs being by more than 15 when it's all said and done.  -15.5 or -16 would be an intriguing line to actually bet on.

[boconnell 1,623]

I tend to agree, but Retherford finally looked human for the first time in a while against Sorenson, and it's an away dual.  Jordan won't pick bottom against Retherford.  If it's a stalemate or close on their feet, I could see Zain winning 5-0 or 4-0.  

I think that would be the best result for Jordan.  4-0 with a single TD, escape and RT point.  But spending time under Retherford looks like a brutal experience and one that tends to break most opponents and result in a late avalanche of points one way or another.  That is why getting away is so key.  

[lu_alum 918]

My dad and I usually work up some points spreads for the key match ups but never agree. What changes should be made below to make it more accurate.

 

BoJo -2.5

 

Zain-.3.5

 

BoN -5.5

 

Kyle -5.5

 

Thanks

are these team points or bout score?

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[mvattivo 47]

If I were Vegas and wanting to get bets on each side of the line:

 

125 - Suriano (-7.5)

133 - Tomasello (-14.5)

141 - Gulibon (-1)

149 -  Retherford (-5.5)

157 - Nolf (-14.5)

165 - Joseph (-3.5)

174 - Jordan (-2.5)

184 -  Nickal (-4.5)

197 - Moore (-1.5)

285 - Snyder (-9.5)

 

My picks:

 

125 - Suriano major Rodriguez (4-0 PSU) * Could be worse than major
133 - Tomasello fall Carpenter (6-4 OSU) * Tech or pin
141 - Gulibon decision Pletcher (7-6 PSU) * Give the toss-up to the experience
149 - Retherford major M. Jordan (11-6 PSU) * Could be regular, but, always danger of fall with Zain
157 - Nolf fall Ryan (17-6 PSU) * Tech or pin
165 - Joseph decision Burcher (20-6 PSU) * Could be major
174 - Hall decision B. Jordan (23-6 PSU) * Bo is slight favorie, but, I'm not even sure he wrestles.  Not 100%
184 - Nickal decision Martin (26-6) * Could be major or pin.  I don't think Nickal ever loses to Martin again
197 - Moore decision McCutcheon (26-9) * Moore slight favorite due to big size advantage
285 - Nevills fall Fox (32-9) or Snyder major Nevills (26-13) * Snyder on another planet, as Nevills is right there with Medberry

Obviously, I see everything close going PSU's direction. Bo Jordan isn't 100% and I think Hall wants to show what he is capable of.

[russling 22]

are these team points or bout score?

 

 

Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk

[russling 22]

Bout points. We need .5 to avoid ties

[steamboat_charlie 727]

These aren't too bad, here's how I see it:

 

Suriano -5.0

Tomasello -8.5

Gulibon -1.0

Retherford -4.5

Nolf TF

Joseph -7.0

Jordan -2.0

Nickal -4.0

Moore -4.0

Snyder -8.0

I'm a terrible bookie.

[boconnell 1,623]

I think I laid some good lines.  And like I thought after the sorenson match, Jordan is very good, but he is not good on bottom so he is completely out of luck against Retherford.