The season must be close as MSU breaks out his annual prediction of individual results that are at best a 50-50 proposition and then argues that every one will occur in order for his overall team prediction to be accurate.
Barring injuries(which would effect every single team's projections) and a stupid decision on Downey's part, Sorenson, Kemerer, Downey and Stoll are locks. All 4 are solidly top 6 in their weights if healthy.....So is the NCAA going to bar injuries and Downey from doing something stupid because otherwise they are legitimate factors that must be considered because most teams don't have guys with these kind of backgrounds in their lineups. In the end, it is just as likely that Stoll's leg gives out yet again or that Downey implodes in some way as it is that either AA.
Marinelli is extremely good. 165 is top heavy but not overly deep. After Martinez, Massa and Joseph it drops down to Rogers, Valencia, Womack, Walsh and Marstellar. There is no way I would put all 5 of those ahead of him to keep him off the podium....No, Marinelli has not proven to be extremely good. He faced two top 10 guys and got majored and pinned. Expect him to improve from last year, but he is just one of many talented wrestlers contending for AA at this point and could just as easily be a round of 12 guy.
Young is definitely the least talented, but 174 is another weight that drops off considerably after the top 4, with the other 4 AA's graduating. Preisch is strong and Lewis is moving up. Jacobe Smith has looked great. After that, who do you legitimately put ahead of him? Young had no quality wins last year and a couple suspect losses. Why would you legitimately put him ahead of any returning top 20 guy at this point other then to make a ridiculous prediction?
Personally, I think its much more reasonable to project 2 AAs out of these four and then when combined with Sorenson and Kemerer, puts Iowa's over-under at 4.
Edited by Flying-Tiger, 12 October 2017 - 09:44 AM.