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U23 Freestyle: Predictions and Results Thread

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Assessing the draws for the second half of our group, below:

61 kg: Sean Fausz (Alexandria, Ky./Wolfpack WC) vs. Joshua Bodnarchuk (Canada)
I think this is a winnable first match.  Bodnarchuk did make the finals of Pan Ams and got teched by Colon... wrestled Colon tight until Colon was able to get on top and run through a series of guts.  Impossible to know too much about Fausz in freestyle, but I don't see him making it past Gasimov in the quarters. 

74 kg: Alex Smythe (Eden, N.Y./Univ. of Buffalo) vs. Tyler Rowe (Canada)
Great experience for Smythe to even be there.  Any wins will be a bonus, Rowe is pretty solid.  His half of the bracket doesn't appear terribly difficult.  No real expectations here, maybe he'll surprise. 

86 kg: Myles Martin (Penns Grove, N.J./Titan Mercury WC/Ohio RTC) vs. Javrail Shapiev (Uzbekistan)
Myles, like Moore and Hidlay, will be tested right away.  Shapiev has been on the senior circuit for about a year, has taken some lumps, but also has some nice wins to his name.  Second at Ali Aliev this year to Kurugliev.  I'd say he's maybe a slight step down from Baev and Ovsyannikov, but a tough opponent nonetheless.  The other guys in his quarter are not slouches, but if Myles can beat Shapiev I think he beats the rest there.  If he makes the semis, he'll likely face Ghasempour (1st at the Ukrainian, 1st at Takhti).  Tough draw altogether for Myles.  

92 kg: Christian Brunner (East Dundee, Ill./Boilermaker RTC) vs. Zoltan Gergen (Romania)
No idea about his first match.  Seems winnable.  Probably runs into Toth in the quarter if he can make it there, wouldn't favor him in that match but don't really know much about Brunner's freestyle chops.  A couple wins here would be a pleasant surprise.  

125 kg: 125 kg: Youssif Hermida (Mamaroneck, N.Y./Terrapin WC) vs. Yasuhiro Yamamoto (Japan)
I think Hemida has the potential to do well here.  He should beat Yamamoto, but Jabrailov will be a test in his second match.  Junior world bronze this year, in a weight where Gable didn't place.  Honestly his half of the bracket is very soft.  Best result there is Heino from Finland, Junior Euro U23 Bronze. There is potential here for a good run.  

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8 hours ago, The Genius said:

Higuchi is a olympic silver medalist from 2016 and still competing in the u23s? 

He lost the Japanese WTT to Otoguro this year, so this is his only shot at a "World" medal like everybody else competing that couldn't make the senior team and that are too old for the Jr team.

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2 hours ago, CA_Wrestler said:

He lost the Japanese WTT to Otoguro this year, so this is his only shot at a "World" medal like everybody else competing that couldn't make the senior team and that are too old for the Jr team.

Japan is deep at 57, 61 and 65

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13 minutes ago, Housebuye said:

Japan is deep at 57, 61 and 65

Yeah, they have a lot of guys in those weight classes for sure.  The interesting thing watching Jr, Sr and U23 for Japan is that there are a lot of siblings on Japan's World Teams and also siblings of current World Team members that lost in the WTT finals.

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Mueller with the surprise of the morning in the repechage matches, taking out Sarlak of Iran, 16-15. As previously mentioned, he'll have Zou of China for bronze. Zou took out Sadulaev and Andreu Ortega yesterday, so he's the real deal. Interesting test for Mueller.

Hidlay falls 4-4 after being up 4-0. Probably slowed his attacks a little too much late, allowing Tazhigali of Kazakhstan to get a rhythm going and score a couple times. Tazhigali then lost 3-2 to Ibodov of Uzbekistan. The highlight of this tournament for Hidlay is definitely the 6-5 close call to Baev of Russia, who would absolutely be a medal contender at the senior level. Baev whitewashed both Tazhigali and Ibodov by 10-0 scores.

Edited by maligned

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In Round of 16 action for our second group this morning, Hemida, Martin, and Fausz all win. Martin looked impressive in moments, but made a couple mistakes too; namely, he stepped right into a giant 4-pointer that brought the Uzbek Shapiev back into a match Martin led 9-0. He held on to win 9-6.

Smythe got controlled 6-2 by Rowe of Canada. Probably the least impressive performance of the 9 guys that have wrested so far. He'll most certainly not be brought back into the repechage.

Brunner up momentarily and then the quarterfinals.

Martin v. Ganbaatar of Mongolia

Hemida v. Jabrailov of Moldova

Fausz v. Liu of China

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Summary so far: 

8 of 10 reach the quarterfinals and a ninth (Hidlay) having perhaps our 2nd or 3rd best single-match performance in the tight loss to Baev.

Moore for gold and Mueller for bronze later today.

4 quarterfinalists upcoming.

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40 minutes ago, Buckeyebison said:

Martin lost 6-1 to very stocky Mongolian with lots of patience and hard to score on. Hopefully, that Mongolian wins his semifinals vs either Iranian or Turkish.

I'm running out of hands to count the number of times I've seen stout Mongolians make it look like one of our usually dynamic guys has no interest in scoring. It always feels like it's down to 25% balance/footwork and 75% hand control. Martin couldn't set up anything of substance at all. Sadly, this weight is not one Mongolia does well in internationally and Ganbaatar is down the pecking order a couple slots. Not a fantastic loss in terms of quality of opponent. Hopefully Martin learns from the several times he was made to look "freestyle" silly in his two matches and comes back stronger. He would be so fun to watch as a true freestyler if he can grow into it.

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Hemida draws Andriatze of Georgia in the semi's. Not so many accolades there for Andriatze. The junior world champ and Russian #3 Gamidov will be the interesting one in the final if he can reach it.

Fausz's Iranian opponent, Sadeghikoukandeh, was a 2015 junior world champ and was more recently 5th at the senior-level Asian championships.

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19 minutes ago, Paul158 said:

What time do you think Kolin Moore will wrestle ?  Thanks

Finals start at 11am eastern/8am pacific. He'll be the very last match of 15 matches. I'm not sure if they've been using 2 mats for the bronze matches or not. If so, I'd guess 12:30 or 12:45 start time for his match based on past tournament finals sessions' pace. If they're using only one mat, it will be sometime after 1pm. Maybe even close to 1:30.

Edited by maligned

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Wow! Frausz wins!!! 2-0. Iranian wrestler protested heavily and refused to leave the mat till finally escorted by security. Can’t blame him the score would have gone either way at end. The Iran coaches should have challenged it. They were too late to challenge.

Good for Frausz! He defended the Iranian attacks well. His folk style experience paid off at defending.

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Jack Meuller charged at end but came few seconds too late. 11-9. I’m surprised that he declined his coach’s challenge when he was down 11-6 with a minute left. I think he felt that he might lose the challenge. I thought he could have gotten two points for exposure had he accepted challenge.

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10 minutes ago, Buckeyebison said:

Jack Meuller charged at end but came few seconds too late. 11-9. I’m surprised that he declined his coach’s challenge when he was down 11-6 with a minute left. I think he felt that he might lose the challenge. I thought he could have gotten two points for exposure had he accepted challenge.

I agree they just awarded Meullar 4 points in a similar exchange 30 seconds earlier. That also could of been 4 as They awarded the Chinese guy 4. I felt the angle changed. I think he thought China was tired and if he pushed the pace he was going to be able to score. 

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