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WillieBoy

CoronaVirus - Cancelling or moving Olympic Games

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With this disease killing may and China next door to Japan - what are the chances the Olympic Games may be cancelled or moved?

Thousands dead, quarantine camps, restricted travel - all look to have the potential to interrupt the planned events.

Where we live a number of buildings and offices have signs up about CHINA: If you have been or had contact with anyone who has been within the past month, or have a fever, aches or feel sick - NO ADMITTANCE.

If it gets worse - cancel the games?

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With this disease killing may and China next door to Japan - what are the chances the Olympic Games may be cancelled or moved?
Thousands dead, quarantine camps, restricted travel - all look to have the potential to interrupt the planned events.
Where we live a number of buildings and offices have signs up about CHINA: If you have been or had contact with anyone who has been within the past month, or have a fever, aches or feel sick - NO ADMITTANCE.
If it gets worse - cancel the games?
Screw this flu.... bird flu, swine flu, gimme dat lime flu... would go nice with my corona...
Mountain meet molehill... the games go on.

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They effectively cancelled the Tokyo Marathon, one of the 6 world majors with approximately 30,000 participants in an Olympic year at the same hosting city, two days ago. So I assume Japan is taking very precautionary steps to avoid interruption. For those not into distance running, the cancellation is a Very. Big. Deal. that would be on par with cancelling the Big Ten tournament at least

Edited by bnwtwg
grammar

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1 hour ago, pamela said:

Has it affected participation or attendance at the Asia qualifier? That’s going on right now, isn’t it?

Yes it actually got delayed and moved. There are a lot of qualifying events from the various sports that have been postponed and moved. 

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A very prominent Japanese Virologist who worked with the WHO on SARS was recently asked this question and he couldn't give an answer. FWIW Japan has by far the most cases after China when you include the Diamond Princess Cruise ship docked in Yokohama, Japan which has some 630+ cases. Yokohama is only about 30 miles from the heart of Tokyo BTW.

https://apnews.com/1ad2e02527c563db3c35d81c063a9568

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

Edited by DocBZ

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On 2/19/2020 at 9:23 AM, bnwtwg said:

They effectively cancelled the Tokyo Marathon, one of the 6 world majors with approximately 30,000 participants in an Olympic year at the same hosting city, two days ago. So I assume Japan is taking very precautionary steps to avoid interruption. For those not into distance running, the cancellation is a Very. Big. Deal. that would be on par with cancelling the Big Ten tournament at least

They’re still allowing elite runners.  That’s probably more like holding NCAA’s but not allowing any spectators.

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Japan's handling of the Diamond Princess crisis is  an absolute disaster and textbook for what NOT to do. Japan is likely 2 months behind China from an epidemiology standpoint. I have little confidence in Japan's ability to control this outbreak based on their actions so far. Only positive is warm weather, time and history  are generally in their favor in terms of previous epidemics.

https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-health-japan-response/with-stricken-cruise-ship-japan-draws-criticism-over-coronavirus-response-idUSKBN20D0HE

Edited by DocBZ

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On 2/18/2020 at 8:50 PM, WillieBoy said:

With this disease killing may and China next door to Japan - what are the chances the Olympic Games may be cancelled or moved?

Thousands dead, quarantine camps, restricted travel - all look to have the potential to interrupt the planned events.

Where we live a number of buildings and offices have signs up about CHINA: If you have been or had contact with anyone who has been within the past month, or have a fever, aches or feel sick - NO ADMITTANCE.

If it gets worse - cancel the games?

Or, what if it goes on, you go, you get sick ...

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Mini out breaks happening in Japan, South Korea and Italy now. All 3 countries have over 100 cases with over 600 each in South Korea and Japan.

Iran spiking to with 48 cases and 8 dead (highest death rate in the world). That could be a troubling hotspot.

Also the death rate originally thought to be around 2% seems to be climbing as more true outcomes of deaths vs recoveries are being reported. If you go by true outcomes the death rate is around 10%. However there are still a vast amount of unknown outcomes. I suspect it will settle around 5% in the end. 

Here are a couple of good sites to track the numbers...

 

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2019–20_coronavirus_outbreak

Edited by DocBZ

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A lot of locations are worried the infection rate will increase. Whether fueled by paranoia, fear of the unknown, media hype, science or outright ignorance - people are worried.

Look at it as the latest Ebola Scare - magnified.

These signs posted on doors to County and public buildings, Bottineau, North Dakota. They are a short distance from the Canadian border and one worry voiced is infection from Canadians who come down to shop at the WalMart - hundreds each week. Did not say it makes sense, just what is happening.

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Edited by WillieBoy

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Damn Italy doubled it's total to 224 in 1 day and they still have not found patient zero.. South Korea over 800 now. Deaths up to 12 now in Iran (news outlets reporting 50 new dead in Qom, Iran but Iran disputing this), 8 in South Korea, 6 in Italy.

 

https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/23/europe/italy-novel-coronavirus-spike-intl/index.html

 

BTW for those interested CNBC has a daily show with updates on the Coronavirus that I have been watching daily at 7pm.

Edited by DocBZ

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