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NCAA Championship - 125lbs Predictions - WrestleStat

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http://digital.learfieldimgcollege.com/ncaa-division-i-wrestling-championships-commemorative.htm

 

Championship Pigtail 

(33) Antonio Mininno (DREX) 9-14 v. (32) Dominic LaJoie (COR) 16-20
Winner: Antonio Mininno over Dominic LaJoie 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50806/mininno-antonio/49112/lajoie-dominic
    

Championship Round 1

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (32) Dominic LaJoie (COR) 16-20
Winner: Spencer Lee over Antonio Mininno FALL
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/50806/mininno-antonio

(17) Jacob Schwarm (UNI) 21-10 vs (16) Nic Aguilar (RUT) 24-11
Winner: Nic Aguilar over Jacob Schwarm 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39750/schwarm-jacob/51104/aguilar-nic

(9) Brandon Courtney (ASU) 25-5 vs (24) Patrick McKee (MINN) 17-8
Winner: Brandon Courtney over Patrick McKee 10 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50881/courtney-brandon/50594/mckee-patrick

(25) Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) 18-9 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Michael DeAugustino over Fabian Gutierrez 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45245/gutierrez-fabian/56007/deaugustino-michael

(5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5 vs (28) Jackson DiSario (STAN) 21-9
Winner: Devin Schroder over Jackson DiSario 7 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44591/schroder-devin/57126/disario-jackson

(21) Justin Cardani (ILL) 16-10 vs (12) Alex Mackall (ISU) 19-7
Winner: Alex Mackall over Justin Cardani 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51687/cardani-justin/44577/mackall-alex

(13) Luke Werner (LH) 30-5 vs (20) Gage Curry (AMER) 30-9
Winner: Luke Werner over Gage Curry 8 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50282/werner-luke/44583/curry-gage

(29) Edwin Thomsen (NEB) 13-15 vs (4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1
Winner: Jack Mueller over Edwin Thomsen 15 - 2 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50601/thomsen-edwin/45232/mueller-jack

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (30) Logan Griffin (MSU) 19-17
Winner: Nick Piccininni over Logan Griffin 16 - 2 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/40454/griffin-logan

(19) Trey Chalifoux (ARMY) 17-9 vs (14) Jack Medley (MICH) 19-12
Winner: Jack Medley over Trey Chalifoux 7 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44745/chalifoux-trey/51392/medley-jack

(11) Michael Colaiocco (PENN) 23-7 vs (22) Liam Cronin (IND) 17-13
Winner: Michael Colaiocco over Liam Cronin 8 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/56733/colaiocco-michael/45061/cronin-liam

(27) Malik Heinselman (OHST) 18-15 vs (6) Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) 31-3
Winner: Drew Hildebrandt over Malik Heinselman 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50611/heinselman-malik/44818/hildebrandt-drew

(7) Brandon Paetzell (LEH) 21-3 vs (26) Korbin Meink (CAMP) 22-11
Winner: Brandon Paetzell over Korbin Meink 8 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44578/paetzell-brandon/49074/meink-korbin

(23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11 vs (10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6
Winner: Jakob Camacho over Joe Manchio 10 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50937/manchio-joe/50655/camacho-jakob

(15) Killian Cardinale (ODU) 25-9 vs (18) Joey Prata (VT) 19-11
Winner: Joey Prata over Killian Cardinale 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49268/cardinale-killian/44734/prata-joey

(31) Christian Moody (OU) 11-15 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Patrick Glory over Christian Moody 15 - 2 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39746/moody-christian/51100/glory-patrick

Edited by jross
updated weight class links

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One topic per weight.

One round at a time, pause for some amount of time for comments/discussion, then proceed with next round/bout numbers per the bracket.

You could try to finish one weight class per day or one weight class every 2-3 days.  This could keep discussion  going for some time.

Just my thoughts.

Edited by Show_Me

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Wrestlebacks Pigtail

(30) Logan Griffin (MSU) 19-17 vs (32) Dominic LaJoie (COR) 16-20
Winner: Dominic LaJoie over Logan Griffin 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/40454/griffin-logan/49112/lajoie-dominic

 

Wrestlebacks Round 1

(33) Antonio Mininno (DREX) 9-14 vs (17) Jacob Schwarm (UNI) 21-10
Winner: Jacob Schwarm over Antonio Mininno 9 - 8
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50806/mininno-antonio/39750/schwarm-jacob

(24) Patrick McKee (MINN) 17-8 vs (25) Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) 18-9
Winner: Fabian Gutierrez over Patrick McKee 9 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50594/mckee-patrick/45245/gutierrez-fabian

(28) Jackson DiSario (STAN) 21-9 vs (21) Justin Cardani (ILL) 16-10
Winner: Justin Cardani over Jackson DiSario 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/57126/disario-jackson/51687/cardani-justin

(20) Gage Curry (AMER) 30-9 vs (29) Edwin Thomsen (NEB) 13-15
Winner: Gage Curry over Alex Thomsen 7 - 4
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44583/curry-gage/50601/thomsen-edwin

(32) Dominic LaJoie (COR) 16-20 vs (19) Trey Chalifoux (ARMY) 17-9
Winner: Trey Chalifoux over Dominic LaJoie 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49112/lajoie-dominic/44745/chalifoux-trey

(22) Liam Cronin (IND) 17-13 vs (27) Malik Heinselman (OHST) 18-15
Winner: Liam Cronin over Malik Heinselman 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45061/cronin-liam/50611/heinselman-malik

(26) Korbin Meink (CAMP) 22-11 vs (23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11
Winner: Joe Manchio over Korbin Meink 9 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49074/meink-korbin/50937/manchio-joe

(15) Killian Cardinale (ODU) 25-9 vs (31) Christian Moody (OU) 11-15
Winner: Killian Cardinale over Christian Moody 8 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49268/cardinale-killian/39746/moody-christian

Edited by jross

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Thats a wrap for today's 125lb bracket results.

Championship Round 2

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (16) Nic Aguilar (RUT) 24-11
Winner: Spencer Lee over Nic Aguilar 20 - 1 TF
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/51104/aguilar-nic

(9) Brandon Courtney (ASU) 25-5 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Michael DeAugustino over Brandon Courtney 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50881/courtney-brandon/56007/deaugustino-michael

(5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5 vs (12) Alex Mackall (ISU) 19-7
Winner: Devin Schroder over Alex Mackall 8 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44591/schroder-devin/44577/mackall-alex

(13) Luke Werner (LH) 30-5 vs (4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1
Winner: Jack Mueller over Luke Werner 13 - 3 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50282/werner-luke/45232/mueller-jack

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (14) Jack Medley (MICH) 19-12
Winner: Nick Piccininni over Jack Medley 12 - 3 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/51392/medley-jack

(11) Michael Colaiocco (PENN) 23-7 vs (6) Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) 31-3
Winner: Drew Hildebrandt over Michael Colaiocco 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/56733/colaiocco-michael/44818/hildebrandt-drew

(7) Brandon Paetzell (LEH) 21-3 vs (10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6
Winner: Jakob Camacho over Brandon Paetzell 9 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44578/paetzell-brandon/50655/camacho-jakob

(18) Joey Prata (VT) 19-11 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Patrick Glory over Joey Prata 14 - 2 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44734/prata-joey/51100/glory-patrick

Edited by jross

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**** Wrestlestats serves a very good purpose as a Database for wrestling results/history of all kinds.  It can also be sort of fun to play What If.  However, I have thought and still think the algorithm they use (even with all the tweaks they have made), is just ok as far as giving meaningful insights of various matches.  Many times when I compare wrestlers or teams, as listed on Wrestlestats, I am left shaking my head, (thinking that result just does not make sense). 

I have asked more than once, what criteria is used and what weighting is used to yield the results?  No answers, (crickets), even though I have asked more than once.  Until Andre provides more insights into what the algorithm looks at, I will use it as a database for historical data.  I still will trust my own instincts and knowledge where I can factor in the styles, strengths/weaknesses of the wrestlers.  Just one man's opinion.

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1 hour ago, jross said:

Honest question.  Given  that TrackWrestling is populating virtual brackets (example below) and they are accessible for free to anyone, should I bother to continue with the WrestleStat driven brackets?  This article will lead you to the brackets

image.png

Yes. They are different.

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2 hours ago, Cary by the Lake said:

Wrestlestats serves a very good purpose as a Database for wrestling results/history of all kinds.  It can also be sort of fun to play What If.  However, I have thought and still think the algorithm they use (even with all the tweaks they have made), is just ok as far as giving meaningful insights of various matches.  Many times when I compare wrestlers or teams, as listed on Wrestlestats, I am left shaking my head, (thinking that result just does not make sense). 

Teaser.  The wrestlestat algo. has predicted upsets that will make the 125 lb bracket interesting tomorrow :).  Let nhs67 and me know which ones have you shaking your head.  

Using transitive wins is a fun prediction method.  WrestleStat has more merit for wrestlers in the same weight class with common opponents of the same season.  It breaks down when comparing wrestlers across weight classes.  I assume it does not consider weight and strength in these fantasy matchups.  It can be humorous when comparing wrestlers that do not have common opponents and/or where the wrestlers are in different weight classes.  When I compared Spencer Lee to Gable Steveson, WrestleStat should have said 'Gable Steveson over Spencer Lee MURDER' and instead it said 'Spencer Lee over Gable Steveson 8 - 5.'  Maybe its an Iowa Fan.

 

Edited by jross

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Championship Round 2 - Quarter Finals

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Spencer Lee over Michael DeAugustino 19 - 1 TF
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/56007/deaugustino-michael

(5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5 vs (4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1
Winner: Jack Mueller over Devin Schroder 8 - 4
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44591/schroder-devin/45232/mueller-jack

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (6) Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) 31-3
Winner: Nick Piccininni over Drew Hildebrandt 12 - 3 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/44818/hildebrandt-drew

(10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Jakob Camacho over Patrick Glory 12 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50655/camacho-jakob/51100/glory-patrick

5e7438ee03a4d205543676.gif

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4 minutes ago, jross said:

Championship Round 2 - Quarter Finals

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Spencer Lee over Michael DeAugustino 19 - 1 TF
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/56007/deaugustino-michael

(5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5 vs (4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1
Winner: Jack Mueller over Devin Schroder 8 - 4
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44591/schroder-devin/45232/mueller-jack

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (6) Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) 31-3
Winner: Nick Piccininni over Drew Hildebrandt 12 - 3 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/44818/hildebrandt-drew

(10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Jakob Camacho over Patrick Glory 12 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50655/camacho-jakob/51100/glory-patrick

5e7438ee03a4d205543676.gif

wow, wrestlestat and track had Glory not making it to the semis. 

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Wrestlebacks Round 2

(16) Nic Aguilar (RUT) 24-11 vs (15) Killian Cardinale (ODU) 25-9
Winner: Nic Aguilar over Killian Cardinale 6 - 4
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51104/aguilar-nic/49268/cardinale-killian

(9) Brandon Courtney (ASU) 25-5 vs (23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11
Winner: Joe Manchio over Brandon Courtney 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50881/courtney-brandon/50937/manchio-joe

(12) Alex Mackall (ISU) 19-7 vs (22) Liam Cronin (IND) 17-13
Winner: Alex Mackall over Liam Cronin 8 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44577/mackall-alex/45061/cronin-liam

(13) Luke Werner (LH) 30-5 vs (19) Trey Chalifoux (ARMY) 17-9
Winner: Luke Werner over Trey Chalifoux 9 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50282/werner-luke/44745/chalifoux-trey

(14) Jack Medley (MICH) 19-12 vs (20) Gage Curry (AMER) 30-9
Winner: Jack Medley over Gage Curry 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51392/medley-jack/44583/curry-gage

(11) Michael Colaiocco (PENN) 23-7 vs (21) Justin Cardani (ILL) 16-10
Winner: Michael Colaiocco over Justin Cardani 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/56733/colaiocco-michael/51687/cardani-justin

(7) Brandon Paetzell (LEH) 21-3 vs (25) Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) 18-9
Winner: Fabian Gutierrez over Brandon Paetzell 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44578/paetzell-brandon/45245/gutierrez-fabian

(18) Joey Prata (VT) 19-11 vs (17) Jacob Schwarm (UNI) 21-10
Winner: Jacob Schwarm over Joey Prata 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44734/prata-joey/39750/schwarm-jacob

 

Wrestlebacks Round 3

(16) Nic Aguilar (RUT) 24-11 vs (23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11
Winner: Joe Manchio over Nic Aguilar 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51104/aguilar-nic/50937/manchio-joe

(12) Alex Mackall (ISU) 19-7 vs (13) Luke Werner (LH) 30-5
Winner: Luke Werner over Alex Mackall 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/44577/mackall-alex/50282/werner-luke

(14) Jack Medley (MICH) 19-12 vs (11) Michael Colaiocco (PENN) 23-7
Winner: Michael Colaiocco over Jack Medley 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51392/medley-jack/56733/colaiocco-michael

(25) Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) 18-9 vs (17) Jacob Schwarm (UNI) 21-10
Winner: Fabian Gutierrez over Jacob Schwarm 9 - 8
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45245/gutierrez-fabian/39750/schwarm-jacob

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Blood Round

The year long quest to become an All American all boils down to one match.  It will make or break their dream.  What upsets will there be this year at 125lbs.?

jea-Gophers-vs-Iowa-wrestling-17.jpg?w=3

 

(23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11 vs (6) Drew Hildebrandt (CMU) 31-3
Winner: Joe Manchio over Drew Hildebrandt 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50937/manchio-joe/44818/hildebrandt-drew

(13) Luke Werner (LH) 30-5 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Patrick Glory over Luke Werner 15 - 1 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50282/werner-luke/51100/glory-patrick

(11) Michael Colaiocco (PENN) 23-7 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Michael DeAugustino over Michael Colaiocco 6 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/56733/colaiocco-michael/56007/deaugustino-michael

(25) Fabian Gutierrez (CHAT) 18-9 vs (5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5
Winner: Devin Schroder over Fabian Gutierrez 8 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45245/gutierrez-fabian/44591/schroder-devin

 

After the upset win over Hildebrandt, Manchio was already looking ahead to his rematch with Glory.

 "He is mine this time!" 

image.png

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Spencer Lee and Jack Mueller are going at it again.  Spencer has had Jack's number since they were teenagers.  But Jack keeps performing better against Spencer every match.  Every practice this season, Jack has focused on stopping one man, his vision quest, Spencer Lee.  Jack recently shared that he felt untouchable and that he was on top of the world.  All that focus on stopping Spencer's go-to single leg attack contributed to Jack overlooking Jakob Camacho at the ACC Championships, where Camacho handed Jack one of the worst losses of his career.  Jack Mueller has been wrestling since he was three years old.  He accomplished his dream to wrestle D1.  Wrestling is not a job, it is not a burden, he loves it!  After that ACC loss, Jack was locked in and having good practices.  As we've seen, he came in into the NCAAs HOT and ready to throw the hammer down.  Will Jack come out on top?

 

Championship Round 4 - Semi Finals

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1
Winner: Spencer Lee over Jack Mueller 8 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/45232/mueller-jack

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6
Winner: Jakob Camacho over Nick Piccininni 9 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/50655/camacho-jakob

 

Wrestlebacks Round 5

The all-americans are fighting for the next best thing, 3rd place.  How will it all turn out?  Will Joe Manchio pull off another upset?

(23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Patrick Glory over Joe Manchio 14 - 1 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50937/manchio-joe/51100/glory-patrick

(8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8 vs (5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5
Winner: Devin Schroder over Michael DeAugustino 7 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/56007/deaugustino-michael/44591/schroder-devin

 

Wrestlebacks Round 6

(4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1 vs (2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0
Winner: Jack Mueller over Patrick Glory 9 - 5
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45232/mueller-jack/51100/glory-patrick

(3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2 vs (5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5
Winner: Nick Piccininni over Devin Schroder 8 - 7
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/39547/piccininni-nick/44591/schroder-devin

 

Finals are scheduled for later today.  

 

Edited by jross

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Your All Americans

  1. Lee, Iowa
  2. Camacho, NC State
  3. Mueller, Virginia
  4. Piccininni, OK State
  5. Glory, Princeton
  6. Schroder, Purdue
  7. DeAugustino, Northwestern
  8. Manchio, Columbia

 

AA 7th
(23) Joe Manchio (COL) 25-11 vs (8) Michael DeAugustino (NW) 21-8
Winner: Michael DeAugustino over Joe Manchio 7 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/50937/manchio-joe/56007/deaugustino-michael

AA 5th
(2) Pat Glory (PRIN) 24-0 vs (5) Devin Schroder (PUR) 26-5
Winner: Patrick Glory over Devin Schroder 9 - 8
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/51100/glory-patrick/44591/schroder-devin

AA 3rd
(4) Jack Mueller (UVA) 13-1 vs (3) Nick Piccininni (OKST) 26-2
Winner: Jack Mueller over Nick Piccininni 8 - 6
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/45232/mueller-jack/39547/piccininni-nick

Champion

(1) Spencer Lee (IOWA) 18-0 vs (10) Jakob Camacho (NCST) 20-6
Winner: Spencer Lee over Jakob Camacho 11 - 3 MD
    https://www.wrestlestat.com/compare/wrestler/49146/lee-spencer/50655/camacho-jakob
 

ezgif-5-884df498401b.gif

LeeCycle.png Hi mom!  Let's go to the olympic trials!

 

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