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NCAA Championship - 197lbs Predictions - WrestleStat

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http://digital.learfieldimgcollege.com/ncaa-division-i-wrestling-championships-commemorative.html

 

Thursday Morning Results

 

Championship Pigtail

  • (33) Bryan McLaughlin (DREX) 18-16 Over (32) Demazio Samuel (APP) 19-9 By Score 11 - 5 Upset Alert

Championship Round 1

  • (1) Kollin Moore (OHST) 27-0 Over (33) Bryan McLaughlin (DREX) 18-16 By Score 13 - 5 MD
  • (16) Ethan Laird (RID) 24-7 Over (17) Jordan Pagano (RUT) 22-8 By Score 6 - 5
  • (9) Kordell Norfleet (ASU) 14-3 Over (24) Gage Braun (NIU) 23-12 By Score 7 - 5
  • (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 Over (25) Jacob Seely (UNCO) 18-9 By Score 9 - 4
  • (5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (28) Landon Pelham (CMU) 21-12 By Score 9 - 5
  • (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 Over (12) Nathan Traxler (STAN) 20-5 By Score 14 - 3 MD Upset Alert
  • (20) Jack Brown (ARMY) 21-9 Over (13) Thomas Lane (POLY) 20-5 By Score 8 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 Over (29) Hunter Ritter (MINN) 20-10 By Score 14 - 5 MD
  • (3) Eric Schultz (NEB) 23-4 Over (30) Cole Urbas (PENN) 21-13 By Score 9 - 5
  • (14) Dakota Geer (OKST) 24-8 Over (19) Drew Phipps (BUCK) 31-7 By Score 7 - 5
  • (11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 Over (22) Jake Jakobsen (LEH) 16-9 By Score 9 - 4
  • (6) Christian Brunner (PUR) 25-6 Over (27) Jackson Striggow (MICH) 20-10 By Score 6 - 5
  • (7) Jay Aiello (UVA) 27-4 Over (26) Stephen Buchanan (WYO) 26-13 By Score 7 - 6
  • (10) Greg Bulsak (CLAR) 27-5 Over (23) Wyatt Koelling (MIZZ) 20-7 By Score 8 - 6
  • (18) Jake Woodley (OU) 20-9 Over (15) Lucas Davison (NW) 17-8 By Score 6 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (2) Noah Adams (WVU) 32-0 Over (31) Cordell Eaton (NDSU) 15-12 By Score 9 - 7
Edited by jross
added weight link

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Thursday Evening Results

Wrestleback Pigtail

  • (30) Cole Urbas (PENN) 21-13 Over (32) Demazio Samuel (APP) 19-9 By Score 11 - 2 MD

 

Wrestleback Round 1

  • (17) Jordan Pagano (RUT) 22-8 Over (33) Bryan McLaughlin (DREX) 18-16 By Score 7 - 5
  • (24) Gage Braun (NIU) 23-12 Over (25) Jacob Seely (UNCO) 18-9 By Score 8 - 5
  • (12) Nathan Traxler (STAN) 20-5 Over (28) Landon Pelham (CMU) 21-12 By Score 9 - 6
  • (29) Hunter Ritter (MINN) 20-10 Over (13) Thomas Lane (POLY) 20-5 By Score 10 - 6 Upset Alert
  • (30) Cole Urbas (PENN) 21-13 Over (19) Drew Phipps (BUCK) 31-7 By Score 7 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (22) Jake Jakobsen (LEH) 16-9 Over (27) Jackson Striggow (MICH) 20-10 By Score 5 - 4
  • (26) Stephen Buchanan (WYO) 26-13 Over (23) Wyatt Koelling (MIZZ) 20-7 By Score 6 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (15) Lucas Davison (NW) 17-8 Over (31) Cordell Eaton (NDSU) 15-12 By Score 8 - 4

 

Thursday Night Results

Championship Round 2

  • (1) Kollin Moore (OHST) 27-0 Over (16) Ethan Laird (RID) 24-7 By Score 13 - 5 MD
  • (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 Over (9) Kordell Norfleet (ASU) 14-3 By Score 9 - 5
  • (5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 By Score 7 - 4
  • (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 Over (20) Jack Brown (ARMY) 21-9 By Score 12 - 6
  • (3) Eric Schultz (NEB) 23-4 Over (14) Dakota Geer (OKST) 24-8 By Score 8 - 6
  • (11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 Over (6) Christian Brunner (PUR) 25-6 By Score 10 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (10) Greg Bulsak (CLAR) 27-5 Over (7) Jay Aiello (UVA) 27-4 By Score 9 - 6 Upset Alert
  • (2) Noah Adams (WVU) 32-0 Over (18) Jake Woodley (OU) 20-9 By Score 9 - 6

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Friday Morning Results

 

Wrestlebacks Round 2

  • (18) Jake Woodley (OU) 20-9 Over (17) Jordan Pagano (RUT) 22-8 By Score 6 - 4 Upset Alert
  • (7) Jay Aiello (UVA) 27-4 Over (24) Gage Braun (NIU) 23-12 By Score 7 - 5
  • (12) Nathan Traxler (STAN) 20-5 Over (6) Christian Brunner (PUR) 25-6 By Score 7 - 6 Upset Alert
  • (14) Dakota Geer (OKST) 24-8 Over (29) Hunter Ritter (MINN) 20-10 By Score 8 - 7
  • (30) Cole Urbas (PENN) 21-13 Over (20) Jack Brown (ARMY) 21-9 By Score 7 - 6 Upset Alert
  • (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 Over (22) Jake Jakobsen (LEH) 16-9 By Score 13 - 3 MD
  • (9) Kordell Norfleet (ASU) 14-3 Over (26) Stephen Buchanan (WYO) 26-13 By Score 7 - 6
  • (15) Lucas Davison (NW) 17-8 Over (16) Ethan Laird (RID) 24-7 By Score 7 - 4

 

Wrestlebacks Round 3

  • (7) Jay Aiello (UVA) 27-4 Over (18) Jake Woodley (OU) 20-9 By Score 7 - 6
  • (14) Dakota Geer (OKST) 24-8 Over (12) Nathan Traxler (STAN) 20-5 By Score 8 - 6 Upset Alert
  • (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 Over (30) Cole Urbas (PENN) 21-13 By Score 14 - 3 MD
  • (15) Lucas Davison (NW) 17-8 Over (9) Kordell Norfleet (ASU) 14-3 By Score 7 - 6 Upset Alert

 

Championship Round 3

  • (1) Kollin Moore (OHST) 27-0 Over (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 By Score 9 - 7
  • (5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 By Score 9 - 5 Upset Alert
  • (3) Eric Schultz (NEB) 23-4 Over (11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 By Score 6 - 5
  • (10) Greg Bulsak (CLAR) 27-5 Over (2) Noah Adams (WVU) 32-0 By Score 11 - 3 MD Upset Alert

Is it harder to deadlift 600lbs than it is to dominate the #2 ranked wrestler?

 

 

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Friday Evening Results

 

Wrestlebacks Round 4 - Blood Round

  • (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 Over (7) Jay Aiello (UVA) 27-4 By Score 13 - 6
  • (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 Over (14) Dakota Geer (OKST) 24-8 By Score 9 - 5
  • (2) Noah Adams (WVU) 32-0 Over (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 By Score 6 - 5
  • (11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 Over (15) Lucas Davison (NW) 17-8 By Score 8 - 4

 

Wrestlebacks Round 5 - Quarters

  • (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 Over (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 By Score 9 - 7
  • (2) Noah Adams (WVU) 32-0 Over (11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 By Score 8 - 7

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How do I know this is fake? Because Jacob Warner is averaging over 8 points per match

(5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (28) Landon Pelham (CMU) 21-12 By Score 9 - 5

5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 By Score 7 - 4

(5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 By Score 9 - 5 Upset Alert

 

 

Edited by bnwtwg
sp

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 From the journal of KM with inpiration from DF...

Quote

After the quarter’s bout with Brucki, I stepped outside the U.S. Bank Stadium and into the cool day's weather. Outside people were going on with their lives, oblivious to the dramas unfolding just across the way at the Stadium. In the background I could hear whistles going off, cheers alternating with jeers, and coaches yelling advice to their wrestlers.
On my walk to get lunch, I thought about how relieving it was to have faced Brucki, a wrestler I’ve beaten so many times before.  I’ve struggled with letting outside factors crawl into my life and with the pressure to win feeling like the world is on my shoulders.  But that was two years ago, and I’ve let go of other people's expectations.  My confidence is back.  This is my year.

I walked into Hell’s Kitchen and saw two smiling faces looking at me.  There in the corner was none other than Shakur Rasheed and Kyle Conel from PSU, waving me over.  Ah sh!t!  Kyle.  That same Kyle that beat pinned me on national television in the quarters and then beat me again for third place at the NCAAs.  Those losses put me into two weeks of grieving.  I was the best wrestler in the bracket then like I am now.  I recalled seeing myself getting pinned on national TV again and again.  He is the reason I found god.  “Hi Kyle.”  While eating the Original Crack Power Salad with Chicken, Kyle and Shakur shared the word on the street.  Kyle told me that he heard this Iowa kid talking about how he was going to be national champion and take me out.  Warner apparently said he was sick during our first match, he has been studying my film, and is confident that he has my number.   Says he is going to pin me. Whatever.  This is my year… or is it?  I don’t need these head games.  

…back at the stadium

Off in the distance I saw my opponent for the next round already warming up with his coach.  I had wrestled this chap earlier in the season and won soundly.  As such I was not in the least worried, for victory was imminent and the match itself would be a mere formality.  Warner is not Nickal or Conel or Pfarr.

Before I knew it we were at center mat and the ref had blown the whistle. Warner shot in right away. I hit my classic stonewall sprawl, and it put an immediate end to his hopes of getting the first takedown. But the guy was slick, and before I knew it, I was upside down and backwards...I didn't know what hit me! I was on my back! I heard the announcer call it over the loudspeakers: THE #1 RANKED WRESTLER IS IN TROUBLE ON HIS BACK ON CENTER MAT! While looking up the ceiling lights I saw my opponent's coaches jumping up and down. The parts of the crowd I could see were also on their feet.

Strange thing about being on your back. Time and space seem to slow. You don't hear anything except maybe the sound of your own breathing. Sometimes your mind wanders to things completely unrelated to the battle you are engaged in. This time I couldn't help but notice my opponent's shoes. They were the exact same kind of shoes I wore as a youth when I was just trying to make it in this sport. Got my first real six-striped Adidas that dad bought at the five-and-dime. Wrestled in them 'til my feet bled.  I'm surprised I even made it this far.  Oh, when I look back now, I wonder why my matches seem to last forever. And if I had the choice, yeah, I don't really want to be here. But it isn’t no use in complaining when you got a match you're trying not to lose...

 

Edited by jross

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On 4/30/2020 at 3:25 AM, bnwtwg said:

How do I know this is fake? Because Jacob Warner is averaging over 8 points per match

(5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (28) Landon Pelham (CMU) 21-12 By Score 9 - 5

5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (21) Shakur Rasheed (PSU) 8-6 By Score 7 - 4

(5) Jacob Warner (IOWA) 20-4 Over (4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 By Score 9 - 5 Upset Alert

 

 

This.  I can't see Warner beating Rasheed and Darmstadt, while scoring 7 and 9 points in those victories.  

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Jacob Warner averaged 8 points in bouts that he won by decision or major decision this season and he split decisions with Shakur.  I didn't see the win over Darmstadt coming based on common opponents and I think there is some voodoo magic in Iowa's favor.  

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...

Quote

The longer I was on my back, the weaker I grew. Like a middle aged man in a vapid and loveless marriage, I too was emotionally downtrodden.  Do I fight on with a shred of hope that my situation will improve or do I call it a day? The sound of the crowd was now at a deafening roar.  Wrestling fans are a fickle bunch.  Probably more than in any other sport they like to see the favorite lose. They love the proverbial underdog. That is as long as that wrestler remains an underdog. As soon as he becomes a contender, well then, those same fans salivate like a band of wild hyenas at the thought of him falling from grace.
 
And that was exactly what was happening as I lay there on my back giving a half-effort bridge. They had come to snuff the rooster. The crowd grew louder and louder, and it was imminent that the ref would be caught up in the hysteria and call the pin, regardless of whether it was actually a pin or not, all to satiate the ferocious appetite of the crowd.
 
Staring up at those soft fluorescent lights, my mind wandered back to all those practices I had worked so hard at.  I need to get off my back and I'll have my shot at redemption. Don't want to end up in the consolation bracket, in a consolation bracket graveyard. Bridge harder, bridge harder. The ref can't get flat on the mat to look for the pin because of his beer belly, beer belly. Get these fans away from me! You know I don't find this sport amusing anymore!  What if I get pinned here?  All along there were incidents and fluke pin accidents.  But there would be hints and allegations of me throwing this match...

 

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...

Quote

...out of bounds.  My opponent sprinted back to the center of mat to roars of approval from the crowd.  Meanwhile I remained perched on the edge of the mat, adjusting my headgear, pulling up my socks, anything to buy some time.  The crowd wasn't fooled, and neither was the ref. "We got caution stalling on Green!", the ref screamed as he clenched his hand into a fist and shot it high in the sky.

On the restart, my opponent kept trying to turn me from top.  The audacity.  I was the #1 ranked wrestler at this weight.  This guy lost to Aiello, Brucki, and Schultz, and here he was trying to go for the pin like it was amateur hour.  I hit a sitout, stood up, and Warner cut me loose...

Period 1 ends... Warner 6, Moore 1

 

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...

Quote

I chose bottom to start the 2nd period.  "Bottom man set. Top man cover!", instructed the ref.  My opponent exploded on the whistle, and before I knew it I was already flat. "He's stalling, ref!" shouted my opponent's coaches. They were correct. I had nothing left. The jig was up. The ship had sailed.

Laying there like slug, I started thinking about how the intent and the purpose of wrestling is to prepare one for life.  Is that why I wrestle?  Is it for me, my family, for god's glory?  Part of the fun of competing is to see who can be the best on this weekend.  What the hell am I thinking about.  Losing sucks and I can't blame anyone but myself.  I based up, performed a sitout, peeled away the spiral ride, stood up, and oof - Warner face planted me with a mat return.  Up again and Warner cut me loose.  6(7) - 2 Warner (riding time).

Warner shot in to a single and switched to a double.  I fed him hips and he stood back up.  A duck under double made it 6(7) - 4...

 

Edited by jross

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...

Quote

I cannot believe I'm still losing to this turkey at the start of the third period.  What am I doing here?

What am I doing here?

I can’t help but wonder
In a world of no peace
A world of constant pressure to win
I’ve always felt like an underachiever (always second, never first)
No matter where I go
They say life’s a present
It doesn’t feel like it though
I don’t mean to be depressing
I promise I want to see the good
Treat every day as a blessing
Don’t get me misunderstood
But with all the pressure surrounding
It’s hard to hold onto hope
I'm a senior and this is my last year
I still don’t know how to cope
What am I doing here?
Maybe I won’t ever truly know
But what I have come to learn
Is that sometimes the best do not win when it counts
And that God does not decide whether I win or lose
Can I overcome these head games ?
And prevent the loser's depression?
Who is going to save me now? 

I think I can.  I think I can.  I think I can.

 

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...

Quote

Warner chose bottom to start the final period.  "Red, take you position.  Bottom man set. Top man cover!", instructed the ref.  My opponent went into stalling strategy on the whistle.  He knew he had the lead and he was going to make me work for the win.  I cut him and he did that slow turtle crawl... stood up... walked to the edge... and finally turned around.  I don't have time for this... I rushed him and shot him off the mat.  30 seconds into the period and Warner still is doing nothing.  "Warning, stalling red.  Action.  Action."  Reluctantly Warner engaged and I took him down with the classic head push single.  The score is (8)7-6 Warner.  I cut him loose and tried the PSU cradle as Warner did that lazy stand up.  He immediately bellied flat and I maintained control long enough to negate the riding time factor.  I cut him again and let him face me.  The score is 8-6 Warner... I wondered if I had enough time and energy to pull this out.

 

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AA 7th Place

(11) Tanner Sloan (SDSU) 21-6 Over (8) Patrick Brucki (PRIN) 21-5 By Score 9 - 6 Upset Alert

15862195483930986-5223409948.jpg

After Brucki demonstrated a heavy-handed take-down clinic over Sloan at the Midlands,  few fans expected the underdog to come through.  The major difference in this match was Sloan's improved defense against the ducker under and ankle pick.  Sloan attacked and counterattacked successfully to secure two take downs of his own.  Pictured above, Sloan scores a 2 point reversal with the classic switch maneuver.

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Wrestleback Semis Part 1

(4) Ben Darmstadt (COR) 28-6 Over (3) Eric Schultz (NEB) 23-4 By Score 7 - 6 Upset Alert

image.png

Darmstadt moves on.  Win or lose his next match, he has improved on his Freshman 6th place finish.

Edited by jross

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