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portajohn

Match of the Weekend - Hamiti vs Marinelli

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Very excited for this matchup.  Hamiti has been on a tear but hasn't faced a top caliber wrestler yet.  Predictions and betting line?  I'd set the line at 3 1/2 (Marinelli) but should we be surprised if Hamiti pulls off the upset? 

Marinelli - 2XAA - Wins over top competition - 15-1 on the year - 43.75% bonus rate

Hamiti - Freshman - 17-0 on the year - 88.24% bonus rate - HS Super 32 Champ - HS Fargo Champ

Edited by portajohn

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9 minutes ago, ionel said:

I'll personally guarantee you the Bull will do some pushing pulling stalling but I'll leave outcome for others to predict.

 

I have no idea what I'm talking about

How'd you figure out the signature?

I am picking with my heart on this one and going Marinelli, even though I've been mighty impressed by Hamiti.

I have no idea what I'm farting about 

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4 minutes ago, Mr. Poopy butthole said:

How'd you figure out the signature?

 

I have no idea what I'm farting about 

Didn't, I'm copying & pasting prob just like you.  I think Waste Management threw out the sig option.  

 

I have no idea what I'm talking about

but at least I'm not farting

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I would call the line a pick'em in a neutral location. But in CHA, homefield is significant, so maybe something like Bull a -1.5 favorite.

Personally, if I were gambler, I'd bet against my own line and pick Hamiti anyway. The way I see it, mutual opponents swing Hamiti's way.

Tough call. But count me in for Hamiti.

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If I were Bono and Reader, Hamiti would know that he’s a point or two behind from the start. He’s going to get called for stalling; if he chooses bottom in the second or third and doesn’t circle back in bounds as opposed to getting pushed out? That’s a point. Even if there are no warnings before that.

Have the brick ready, Bono, because they’re going to try to give Marinelli all the made up points they can.


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I wonder if Bull will choose bottom of he is up by 2 takedowns after the first. 

i wonder if Hamiti will choose too if he is losing by more than 1. 
 

Very fun matchup. Marinelli might be a terrible style matchup for him, or his limited scrambling ability + Hamiti top game may mean Hamiti blows the score wide open. 
  
I’m not sure who to pick, but I think it will either be Marinelli by 2 takedowns or Hamiti blows the score wide open. I don’t think Hamiti wins by a point or two 

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10 hours ago, portajohn said:

Very excited for this matchup.  Hamiti has been on a tear but hasn't faced a top caliber wrestler yet.  Predictions and betting line?  I'd set the line at 3 1/2 (Marinelli) but should we be surprised if Hamiti pulls off the upset? 

Marinelli - 2XAA - Wins over top competition - 15-1 on the year - 43.75% bonus rate

Hamiti - Freshman - 17-0 on the year - 88.24% bonus rate - HS Super 32 Champ - HS Fargo Champ

That's a big line for what you are billing as a tossup, and especially so where the favorite is not a big scorer.

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Just checked wrestlestat and Marinelli hasn't lost by more than 3 points since the 2018 NCAA championships (where he had a semi-slide meltdown). He doesn't lose big, so I don't see that as an outcome. He is also doesn't put up big points against top level competition. I expect this to be within 2 points either way.

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10 minutes ago, Crotalus said:

Just checked wrestlestat and Marinelli hasn't lost by more than 3 points since the 2018 NCAA championships (where he had a semi-slide meltdown). He doesn't lose big, so I don't see that as an outcome. He is also doesn't put up big points against top level competition. I expect this to be within 2 points either way.

Who has Hamiti at a plus three?

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As much as I enjoy busting on Iowa and its fans, I am rooting for Marinelli to win this match and NCAA's this year.  He is a knucklehead, but like Max Dean, he has won me over in that he pours his heart and soul into it.  I also love Hamiti's wrestling even though I only saw a few matches with him.  This is probably a one score in the thrid to determine the match and should be a great indicidation of whether or not Hamiti is a contender for NCAA crown this year.  165 might be the most fun weight for the fans this year?

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Who has Hamiti at a plus three?
Housebuy mentioned that Hamiti blowing it open was a possibility. I see that as very unlikely. I also don't see Marinelli blowing it open, unless Hamiti is being very overrated right now.

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