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VT vs PSU 12/19

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Anyone care to make some predictions on this one?  Brascetta being out hurts, but even so, I think they Hokies have a good shot for another upset here.  At least that's how I'm seeing it through orange and maroon glasses.

 

They need bonus out of Carter and to hold all of the losses to a regular decision. Other than that I think it comes down to 149 - 165 and the Hokies need 2 out of those 3.

 

125 - Dance over Conoway 3-0 VT

133 - Gulibon over Norstrem 3-3

141 - Carter over Moss  7-3 VT

149 - Mastriani over ? 10-3 VT (Will Beitz wrestle?)

157 - Law over Wesley 10-6 VT

165 - Moon over Hammond 13-6 VT (Hoping Moon is back.)

174 - Brown over Epperly 13-9 VT

184 - McCutcheon over Gabel 13-12 VT

197 - McIntosh over Haught 15-13 PSU

285 - Walz over Lawson 16-15 VT

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agreed this looks like another great dual. I think a lot comes down to actually wrestles (as you've alluded to)- Beitz, D Alton maybe on PSU side and Moon on Tech side could definitely impact overall outcome. Tech can't afford an upset loss, and I like their chances a lot better if say Epperly were to get a pin at 174 (joke, I like Brown for the close but not very much in doubt W there)

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I am looking forward to Beitz vs. Mastriani the most. It's not a headliner, but I like the classic technique vs. horsepower match-up.

 

I think Beitz is the better technical wrestler, but he is a former 141 lber moving up to 149 while Mastriani is a former 157 lber (and 152 even in HS) moving down. I like technique to beat horsepower here, but would not be surprised if it went the other way.

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agreed for the most part... I see a flip flop potentially happening though...

 

at 165, I see Moon being decisioned by Hammond, and Haught upsetting the apple cart over McIntosh.  Maybe that last one's more of a wish, but he has the talent.

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This is going to be a great match! So many great match ups. VT is a great team and matches up well with PSU, I believe it's going to come down to the last match. I am hoping PSU can come away with a win though, because I will be there with my son and nephew :)

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Beitz wrestled a large portion of his senior year in HS at 152, before going 145 at states.  

 

Dont think he's a small 149 or giving up any significant size to mastriani.

 

If he could make 141 as recently as seven or eight months ago, there is no way he is the same size as Mastriani, who would have to cut off a leg to make 141 no matter how much time he was given to get down.

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I don't think this dual will be as close as some of you think. Sanderson has shown the ability to have his team turn these paper close duals into 8-12 point victories countless times, especially at home. Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't even find Mastriani or Moon ranked?

Edited by Flying-Tiger

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I don't think this dual will be as close as some of you think. Sanderson has shown the ability to have his team turn these paper close duals into 8-12 point victories countless times, especially at home. Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't even find Mastriani or Moon ranked?

 

I think your auto correct failed you because your post says "Sanderson" where I think you meant "Taylor and Ruth"

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I don't think this dual will be as close as some of you think. Sanderson has shown the ability to have his team turn these paper close duals into 8-12 point victories countless times, especially at home. Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't even find Mastriani or Moon ranked?

 

Mastriani got everyone excited when he beat Devin Carter, who was highly ranked, at 149, after which Carter decided to move down to 141.

 

Moon is probably not a clear favorite but he is an NCAA qualifier and a redshirt senior with a lot of experience. Hammond is promising but only a freshman. I think you have to favor the more experienced Moon, although his injury may be a factor.

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I don't think this dual will be as close as some of you think. Sanderson has shown the ability to have his team turn these paper close duals into 8-12 point victories countless times, especially at home. Maybe I'm missing something, but I can't even find Mastriani or Moon ranked?

wrestlingreport has Beitz 13 and Mastriana 18 in national rankings. 7 and 8 in Atlantic rankings respectively. No sign of Moon.

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When did Beitz wrestle 141?  I don't remember that.  He spot-started at 149 last season, with decent success for a freshman, especially one not highly touted coming out of HS.  Don't think size will play a factor, hasn't been the case for Beitz' other matches at 149 going on a year now.

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When did Beitz wrestle 141?  I don't remember that.  He spot-started at 149 last season, with decent success for a freshman, especially one not highly touted coming out of HS.  Don't think size will play a factor, hasn't been the case for Beitz' other matches at 149 going on a year now.

 

He wrestled 141 his first year at PSU, as a redshirt (2012/13 season)

Edited by piggy

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I have been watching VT's growth as a team for several years now. I attend the NCAA's every year and am so impressed with not only their wrestling but they really come off as a very classy group. So much so that I donated a hefty amount to their club to get the opportunity to get tickets from them..........and will root for the HOKIES!!

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I thought I'd copy the Va Tech CKLV results showcasing what will likely be their lineup against PSU next Friday night.  Should be a dandy.  Great opportunity for Conaway in his biggest test of the season.  Gulibon should take Norstrem but it will be close.  Beitz will have a tough test against Mastriani.  Most of the matches should be good tests for both sides:

 

Conaway (PSU) vs

125: #2 seed Joey Dance (4-1; SECOND PLACE)
First Round: def. Johnson Mai (Columbia), TF 20-5 (7:00)
Second Round: def. Travis Passaro (Hofstra), TF 22-7 (7:00)
Quarterfinals: def. #7 Seed Josh Rodriguez (NDSU), 4-2
Semifinals: def. #3 seed Dylan Peters (UNI), Fall 3:20
Finals: lost to #1 seed Nahshon Garrett (Cornell), 6-4

Gulibon (PSU) vs

133: #8 seed Kevin Norstrem (4-2; SEVENTH PLACE)
First Round: def. Maverick Passaro (Hofstra), 5-2
Second Round: def. Angelo Amenta (Columbia), MD 8-0
Quarterfinals: lost to #1 seed Chris Dardanes (Minnesota), MD 13-5
Consolations: def. #7 seed Scott Delvecchio (Rutgers), 6-2
Consolations: lost to #5 seed Earl Hall (Iowa State), 5-3
Seventh-Place Match: def. #12 seed Ian Nickell (CSUB), 7-5 (SV)

Moss (PSU) vs

141: #2 seed Devin Carter (4-1; SECOND PLACE)
First Round: def. Jake Hodges (UNI), Fall 2:41
Second Round: def. Mike Morales (WVU), MD 17-7
Quarterfinals: def. #11 seed Sam Speno (NCSU), MD 14-5
Semifinals: def. #3 seed Nick Dardanes (Minnesota), 12-7
Finals: lost to #1 seed Logan Stieber (Ohio State), 12-3

Beitz / Frey (PSU) vs

149: #2 seed Sal Mastriani (4-3; EIGHTH PLACE)
First Round: def. Corey Wilding (Navy), Fall 5:34
Second Round: lost to Alec Pantaleo (Michigan), 10-3
Consolations: def. Clayton Ream (NDSU), MD 17-4
Consolations: def. Randy Languis (Ohio State), 7-3
Consolations: def. #8 seed Preston McCalmon (Ariz St), 5-4
Consolations: lost to Justin Arthur (Nebraska), 12-8
Seventh-Place Match: lost to Abraham Rodriquez (Oregon State), 8-3

Law / D. Alton (PSU) vs

157: David Wesley (0-2)
First Round: lost to #3 seed Anthony Perrotti (Rutgers), MD 11-0
Consolations: lost to Jarrett Jensen (UNI), MD 12-4

Hammond (PSU) vs

165: Chad Strube (0-1)
First Round: lost to Ross Renzi (WVU), 4-3
Consolations: forfeited out

Brown (PSU) vs

174: #6 seed Zach Epperly (5-2; FIFTH PLACE)
First Round: def. Christian Chirico (WVU), TF 17-0 (3:29)
Second Round: def. #11 seed Pete Renda (NCSU), 8-1
Quarterfinals: lost to #3 seed Tanner Weatherman (Iowa State), 3-2
Consolations: def. #12 seed Nate Jackson (Indiana), 10-6
Consolations: def. #7 Mark Martin (Ohio State), 4-2
Consolations: lost to #1 seed Logan Storley (Minnesota), 5-1
Fifth-Place Match: won by forfeit

McCutcheon (PSU) vs

184: #11 seed Austin Gabel (5-3; EIGHTH PLACE)
Pigtails: def. Ross Taylor (Utah Valley), MD 17-5
First Round: def. Austin Gaun (Grand Canyon), 4-2
Second Round: lost to #6 seed Ophir Bernstein (Brown), Fall (7:56)
Consolations: def. Tyler Askey (Virginia), 7-4
Consolations: def. Kyle Piatt (Western State Colorado), 10-3
Consolations: def. #5 seed Domenic Abounader (Michigan), 6-2
Consolations: lost to #8 seed Brett Pfarr (Minnesota), 3-1 (SV)
Seventh-Place Match: lost to #9 seed Timothy Dudley (Nebraska), Fall 4:41

McIntosh (PSU) vs

197: #6 seed Jared Haught (5-2; FIFTH PLACE)
First Round: def. Marcus Haughian (Grand Canyon), 4-2
Second Round: def. Michael Brown (NCSU), 5-4
Quarterfinals: lost to #2 seed Kyven Gadson (Iowa State), 8-3
Consolations: def. Cody Crawford (Oregon State), 6-4
Consolations: def. #5 seed Lucas Sheridan (Indiana), 4-2
Consolations: lost to #5 seed Jace Bennett (Cornell), Fall 4:00
Fifth-Place Match: def. Trent Noon (Northern Colorado), 7-5

Lawson / Gingrich (PSU) vs

285: #3 seed Ty Walz (4-1; SECOND PLACE)
First Round: def. Chace Eskam (Arizona State), 5-2
Second Round: def. Gabriel Gonzalez (Boise State), 5-2
Quarterfinals: def. #6 seed Evan Knutson (NDSU), 3-2
Semifinals: def. #2 seed Adam Coon (Michigan), 5-3
Finals: lost to #1 seed Nick Gwiazdowski (NCSU), 6-3

Edited by skikayaker

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Beitz wrestled 141 at last year's Binghamton Open (in November) and struggled with weight.  He went 149 the rest of the year, including taking Tsirtsis to OT.  Weight/strength should not be an issue this year.

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INTERMAT RANKING PICKS BETWEEN VATECH vs PSU (12/19 - FRI, 7PM)

# 125 - #5 DANCE vs #10 CONAWAY

# 133 - #5 GULIBON vs #19 NORSTREM

* 141 - #3 CARTER vs UN-R MOSS

# 149 - UN-R Mastriani vs #13 BEITZ

* 157 - #5 BRASCETTA vs #9 D. ALTON / UN-R LAW

165 - UN-R WESLEY/STRUBE vs UN-R HAMMOND

174 - #9 EPPERLY vs #2 BROWN

# 184 - UN-R GABEL vs #18 McCUTCHEON

# 197 - UN-R HAUGHT vs #4 McINTOSH

# 285 - #6 WALZ vs #8 GINGRICH/LAWSON

 

BOLD projected winner based on INTERMAT rankings.

 

* Breaks down to a 5/5 split with bonus advantage points going to Va Tech with Carter/Moss & Brascetta/Law matchups heavily favoring Va Tech.

 

# close enough to be toss-ups.


#125 Conaway can beat Dance on a given day.

#133 Norstrem is no walk in the park for Gulibon

#149 Mastriani is unranked but I actually have him as the favorite here.

#157 Brascetta favored if he competes.  He did not compete @ CKLV

#165 A Moon start could be the difference in the dual if he shakes off the rust & beats Hammond.


#197 Haught showed a lot against Snyder.  McIntosh will have his hands full.

#285 Gingrich or Lawson can beat  the favored Walz

 

This will be PSU's first true test, and another great opportunity for VA Tech after their last dual with tOSU.
Edited by skikayaker

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# 125 - #5 DANCE vs #10 CONAWAY

# 133 - #19 NORSTREM vs. #5 GULIBON

* 141 - #3 CARTER vs UN-R MOSS

# 149 - UN-R Mastriani vs #13 BEITZ

* 157 - #5 BRASCETTA vs #9 D. ALTON / UN-R LAW

165 - UN-R WESLEY/STRUBE vs UN-R HAMMOND

174 - #9 EPPERLY vs #2 BROWN

# 184 - UN-R GABEL vs #18 McCUTCHEON

# 197 - UN-R HAUGHT vs #4 McINTOSH

# 285 - #6 WALZ vs #8 GINGRICH/LAWSON

 

I like Beitz to win. No idea who will be in the line ups at 157 and 165. Think this one comes down to the Heavies anyway.

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The way the Dual Impact Index (which is a bit carried away on bonus points, as you'll see) figures it:

 

125: Dance tech Conaway VT 5-0

133: Gulibon maj. Norstrem VT 5-4

141: Carter fall Moss VT 11-4

149: Mastriani dec. Beitz (or Frey) VT 14-4

157: Law dec. Wesley, VT 14-7

165: Strube dec. Hammond, VT 17-7

174: Brown dec. Epperly VT 17-10

184: McCutcheon maj. Gabel VT 17-14

197: McIntosh maj. Haught PSU 18-17

285: Walz dec. Gingrich VT 20-18

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According to Coach Dresser's last press conference, Brascetta is out until the VA Duals in January and Moon is probably out until Midlands.  Means we're going to need a couple upsets.  Six on the scoreboard from Carter wouldn't hurt either.

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The way the Dual Impact Index (which is a bit carried away on bonus points, as you'll see) figures it:

 

125: Dance tech Conaway VT 5-0

133: Gulibon maj. Norstrem VT 5-4

141: Carter fall Moss VT 11-4

149: Mastriani dec. Beitz (or Frey) VT 14-4

157: Law dec. Wesley, VT 14-7

165: Strube dec. Hammond, VT 17-7

174: Brown dec. Epperly VT 17-10

184: McCutcheon maj. Gabel VT 17-14

197: McIntosh maj. Haught PSU 18-17

285: Walz dec. Gingrich VT 20-18

yeah a bit carried away on bonus...rooting for Va Tech in this one so hoping Dance wins and I think he will over Conaway, but I don't see a tech there.

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According to Coach Dresser's last press conference, Brascetta is out until the VA Duals in January and Moon is probably out until Midlands.  Means we're going to need a couple upsets.  Six on the scoreboard from Carter wouldn't hurt either.

yeah his absence is huge. Using the line-ups that SHP posted, and looking at 'realistic' best case scenarios for each team

 

 

125: Dance v Conaway  VT best W major 4-0 Tech. PSU best reg loss VT 3-0

133: Gulibon v Norstrem  VT best reg loss 4-3 Tech. PSU best major win 4-3 PSU

141: Carter v Moss VT best W by fall 10-3 Tech. PSU best reg loss 6-4 Tech

149: Mastriani v. Beitz (or Frey) VT best reg win Tech 13-3. PSU best reg wil PSU 7-6

157: Law v Wesley VT best reg loss Tech 13-6. PSU best major win PSU 11-6.

165: Strube v Hammond VT best reg loss Tech 13-9. PSU best major win PSU 15-6

174: Brown v Epperly VT best reg loss Tech 13-12. PSU best major win PSU 19-6.

184: McCutcheon v Gabel VT best reg win Tech 16-12. PSU best reg win PSU 22-6.

197: McIntosh v Haught VT best reg loss Tech 16-15. PSU best pin PSU 28-6.

285: Walz dec. Gingrich VT best reg win Tech 19-15. PSU best reg win PSU 31-6.

 

pick that apart on either side if you will, but I think w/o Brascetta, Va Tech has a chance to win close, but could get beat badly if it all starts going PSU's way. I'll call it somewhere in the middle:

 

125 Tech reg  3-0 VT

133  PSU reg 3-3

141 Carter major 7-3 VT

149 Beitz reg 7-6

157 Law reg 9-7 PSU

165 Hammond reg 12-7 PSU

174 Brown reg 15-7 PSU

184 McC reg 18-7

197 McI reg 21-7

285 Walz reg 21-10 PSU

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